A quasi-experimental study of New York City's sodium warning regulation and hypertension prevalence, 2005–2020

Objective: To quantify temporal trends in age-adjusted hypertension prevalence in New York City before and after implementation of a menu labeling regulation requiring sodium warning icons at chain restaurants. Methods: Using data from the New York City Community Health Survey, segmented regression...

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Main Authors: Nathaniel J. Maxey, José A. Pagán, Brennan Rhodes-Bratton, Anjali Phalke, Marina Mautner Wizentier, Kimberly A. Kaphingst, Melody S. Goodman, Jemar R. Bather
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-08-01
Series:Preventive Medicine Reports
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211335525001913
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author Nathaniel J. Maxey
José A. Pagán
Brennan Rhodes-Bratton
Anjali Phalke
Marina Mautner Wizentier
Kimberly A. Kaphingst
Melody S. Goodman
Jemar R. Bather
author_facet Nathaniel J. Maxey
José A. Pagán
Brennan Rhodes-Bratton
Anjali Phalke
Marina Mautner Wizentier
Kimberly A. Kaphingst
Melody S. Goodman
Jemar R. Bather
author_sort Nathaniel J. Maxey
collection DOAJ
description Objective: To quantify temporal trends in age-adjusted hypertension prevalence in New York City before and after implementation of a menu labeling regulation requiring sodium warning icons at chain restaurants. Methods: Using data from the New York City Community Health Survey, segmented regression models assessed: (1) the average annual percent change (AAPC) of age-adjusted hypertension prevalence during the pre-regulation period (2005–2015), (2) the annual percent change (APC) from 2015 to 2016 (regulation onset association), (3) the AAPC of age-adjusted hypertension prevalence during the regulation period (2016–2020), and (4) the percentage-point difference between the AAPCs of the pre-regulation and regulation periods. Results: We found a statistically significant average annual percent increase in the age-adjusted hypertension prevalence among the Hispanic population during the pre-regulation period (2005–2015 AAPC: 1.3 %, 95 % CI: 0.3 % to 2.3 %). The regulation's onset was significantly associated with a 4.2 % (95 % CI: 0.4 % to 8.0 %) increase in the age-adjusted hypertension prevalence among females from 2015 to 2016. During the regulation era, we observed statistically significant average annual percent decreases in age-adjusted hypertension prevalence among Black (2016–2020 AAPC: −1.9 %; 95 % CI: −2.5 % to −1.3 %) and female (2016–2020 AAPC: −3.5 %; 95 % CI: −5.0 % to −2.1 %) subgroups. Conclusions: Findings suggest a potential positive impact of the sodium warning regulation on hypertension prevalence. The decreasing trends in hypertension prevalence among female and Black populations suggest that sodium reduction policies may have differential impacts across subgroups. These empirical insights underscore the importance of sustained sodium reduction policies.
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spelling doaj-art-c55e9318a41e43b4ab9f5b9ac0ef8f532025-07-17T04:44:20ZengElsevierPreventive Medicine Reports2211-33552025-08-0156103152A quasi-experimental study of New York City's sodium warning regulation and hypertension prevalence, 2005–2020Nathaniel J. Maxey0José A. Pagán1Brennan Rhodes-Bratton2Anjali Phalke3Marina Mautner Wizentier4Kimberly A. Kaphingst5Melody S. Goodman6Jemar R. Bather7Center for Anti-racism, Social Justice & Public Health, New York University School of Global Public Health, New York, NY, USA; Department of Biostatistics, New York University School of Global Public Health, New York, NY, USACenter for Anti-racism, Social Justice & Public Health, New York University School of Global Public Health, New York, NY, USA; Department of Public Health Policy and Management, New York University School of Global Public Health, New York, NY, USACenter for Anti-racism, Social Justice & Public Health, New York University School of Global Public Health, New York, NY, USACenter for Anti-racism, Social Justice & Public Health, New York University School of Global Public Health, New York, NY, USACenter for Anti-racism, Social Justice & Public Health, New York University School of Global Public Health, New York, NY, USAHuntsman Cancer Institute, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA; Department of Communication, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USACenter for Anti-racism, Social Justice & Public Health, New York University School of Global Public Health, New York, NY, USA; Department of Biostatistics, New York University School of Global Public Health, New York, NY, USACenter for Anti-racism, Social Justice & Public Health, New York University School of Global Public Health, New York, NY, USA; Department of Biostatistics, New York University School of Global Public Health, New York, NY, USA; Corresponding author at: Center for Anti-racism, Social Justice & Public Health, New York University School of Global Public Health, 708 Broadway, 9th Floor, New York, NY 10003, USA.Objective: To quantify temporal trends in age-adjusted hypertension prevalence in New York City before and after implementation of a menu labeling regulation requiring sodium warning icons at chain restaurants. Methods: Using data from the New York City Community Health Survey, segmented regression models assessed: (1) the average annual percent change (AAPC) of age-adjusted hypertension prevalence during the pre-regulation period (2005–2015), (2) the annual percent change (APC) from 2015 to 2016 (regulation onset association), (3) the AAPC of age-adjusted hypertension prevalence during the regulation period (2016–2020), and (4) the percentage-point difference between the AAPCs of the pre-regulation and regulation periods. Results: We found a statistically significant average annual percent increase in the age-adjusted hypertension prevalence among the Hispanic population during the pre-regulation period (2005–2015 AAPC: 1.3 %, 95 % CI: 0.3 % to 2.3 %). The regulation's onset was significantly associated with a 4.2 % (95 % CI: 0.4 % to 8.0 %) increase in the age-adjusted hypertension prevalence among females from 2015 to 2016. During the regulation era, we observed statistically significant average annual percent decreases in age-adjusted hypertension prevalence among Black (2016–2020 AAPC: −1.9 %; 95 % CI: −2.5 % to −1.3 %) and female (2016–2020 AAPC: −3.5 %; 95 % CI: −5.0 % to −2.1 %) subgroups. Conclusions: Findings suggest a potential positive impact of the sodium warning regulation on hypertension prevalence. The decreasing trends in hypertension prevalence among female and Black populations suggest that sodium reduction policies may have differential impacts across subgroups. These empirical insights underscore the importance of sustained sodium reduction policies.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211335525001913Menu labelingNutrition labelingEating outRestaurantsNutritionSalt
spellingShingle Nathaniel J. Maxey
José A. Pagán
Brennan Rhodes-Bratton
Anjali Phalke
Marina Mautner Wizentier
Kimberly A. Kaphingst
Melody S. Goodman
Jemar R. Bather
A quasi-experimental study of New York City's sodium warning regulation and hypertension prevalence, 2005–2020
Preventive Medicine Reports
Menu labeling
Nutrition labeling
Eating out
Restaurants
Nutrition
Salt
title A quasi-experimental study of New York City's sodium warning regulation and hypertension prevalence, 2005–2020
title_full A quasi-experimental study of New York City's sodium warning regulation and hypertension prevalence, 2005–2020
title_fullStr A quasi-experimental study of New York City's sodium warning regulation and hypertension prevalence, 2005–2020
title_full_unstemmed A quasi-experimental study of New York City's sodium warning regulation and hypertension prevalence, 2005–2020
title_short A quasi-experimental study of New York City's sodium warning regulation and hypertension prevalence, 2005–2020
title_sort quasi experimental study of new york city s sodium warning regulation and hypertension prevalence 2005 2020
topic Menu labeling
Nutrition labeling
Eating out
Restaurants
Nutrition
Salt
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211335525001913
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