Proportional Stroke Mortality in Espírito Santo, Brazil: A 20-Year Joinpoint Regression Study

<b>Introduction:</b> Stroke is one of the leading causes of death and disability worldwide. In Brazil, it remains the primary cause of mortality among adults. Although overall stroke mortality rates have declined, the absolute number of stroke incidents, deaths, and years of life loss co...

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Main Authors: Casanova André Motopa Mpuhua, Orivaldo Florencio de Souza, Blanca Elena Guerrero Daboin, Italla Maria Pinheiro Bezerra, Marcelino Na Blei, Thiago Dias Sarti, Vithor Ely Bortolin da Silva, Luiz Carlos de Abreu
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Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-06-01
Series:Epidemiologia
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2673-3986/6/2/28
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author Casanova André Motopa Mpuhua
Orivaldo Florencio de Souza
Blanca Elena Guerrero Daboin
Italla Maria Pinheiro Bezerra
Marcelino Na Blei
Thiago Dias Sarti
Vithor Ely Bortolin da Silva
Luiz Carlos de Abreu
author_facet Casanova André Motopa Mpuhua
Orivaldo Florencio de Souza
Blanca Elena Guerrero Daboin
Italla Maria Pinheiro Bezerra
Marcelino Na Blei
Thiago Dias Sarti
Vithor Ely Bortolin da Silva
Luiz Carlos de Abreu
author_sort Casanova André Motopa Mpuhua
collection DOAJ
description <b>Introduction:</b> Stroke is one of the leading causes of death and disability worldwide. In Brazil, it remains the primary cause of mortality among adults. Although overall stroke mortality rates have declined, the absolute number of stroke incidents, deaths, and years of life loss continues to rise, particularly in developing and underdeveloped countries. <b>Objective:</b> The aim of this study was to analyze trends in stroke mortality across different age groups and both sexes in Espírito Santo, Brazil, from 2000 to 2021. <b>Methods:</b> This ecological time series study utilized secondary data from Espírito Santo, Brazil, from 2000 to 2021. Mortality data, categorized by sex and age group, were obtained from the Department of Informatics of the Unified Health System (DATASUS) database. Stroke-related mortality included deaths recorded under the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) codes for subarachnoid hemorrhage (I60), intracerebral hemorrhage (I61), cerebral infarction (I63), and stroke not specified as hemorrhagic or ischemic (I64). Temporal trends in stroke mortality were assessed using joinpoint regression analysis. <b>Results:</b> From 2000 to 2021, there was a significant reduction in proportional mortality from stroke, with an overall decrease of −3.7% (<i>p</i> < 0.001). When analyzed by sex, the decline was −3.0% (<i>p</i> < 0.001) for males and −3.9% (<i>p</i> < 0.001) for females. The most significant decrease in proportional mortality was observed in the 50 to 59 age group, with an average annual percentage change of −4.9% (<i>p</i> < 0.001). The 30 to 39 age group exhibited the smallest decline, with an average annual percentage change of −2.4% (<i>p</i> < 0.001). No significant segments were observed in the 40 to 49, 60 to 69, and 70 to 79 age groups during the study period. <b>Conclusions:</b> This study identified a notable decline in stroke-related proportional mortality in the adult population of Espírito Santo between 2000 and 2021. While males had a higher absolute number of deaths, females exhibited a higher proportional mortality rate, underscoring the need for targeted preventive measures and effective acute stroke treatment, particularly among men.
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spelling doaj-art-c48e9cddbc7f4b958a7ee578c7624f9c2025-06-25T13:48:48ZengMDPI AGEpidemiologia2673-39862025-06-01622810.3390/epidemiologia6020028Proportional Stroke Mortality in Espírito Santo, Brazil: A 20-Year Joinpoint Regression StudyCasanova André Motopa Mpuhua0Orivaldo Florencio de Souza1Blanca Elena Guerrero Daboin2Italla Maria Pinheiro Bezerra3Marcelino Na Blei4Thiago Dias Sarti5Vithor Ely Bortolin da Silva6Luiz Carlos de Abreu7Centro de Ciências da Saúde, Universidade Federal do Espírito Santos (UFES), Vitoria 29075-910, ES, BrazilCentro de Ciências da Saúde e do Desporto, Universidade Federal do Acre (UFAC), Rio Branco 69920-900, AC, BrazilCentro de Ciências da Saúde, Universidade Federal do Espírito Santos (UFES), Vitoria 29075-910, ES, BrazilPrograma de Pós-Graduação em Políticas Públicas e Desenvolvimento Local, Escola Superior de Ciências da Santa Casa de Misericórdia de Vitória, Vitória 29045-402, ES, BrazilCentro de Ciências da Saúde, Universidade Federal do Espírito Santos (UFES), Vitoria 29075-910, ES, BrazilCentro de Ciências da Saúde, Universidade Federal do Espírito Santos (UFES), Vitoria 29075-910, ES, BrazilPrograma de Pós-Graduação em Ciências Médicas, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo (FMUSP), São Paulo 05508-220, SP, BrazilCentro de Ciências da Saúde, Universidade Federal do Espírito Santos (UFES), Vitoria 29075-910, ES, Brazil<b>Introduction:</b> Stroke is one of the leading causes of death and disability worldwide. In Brazil, it remains the primary cause of mortality among adults. Although overall stroke mortality rates have declined, the absolute number of stroke incidents, deaths, and years of life loss continues to rise, particularly in developing and underdeveloped countries. <b>Objective:</b> The aim of this study was to analyze trends in stroke mortality across different age groups and both sexes in Espírito Santo, Brazil, from 2000 to 2021. <b>Methods:</b> This ecological time series study utilized secondary data from Espírito Santo, Brazil, from 2000 to 2021. Mortality data, categorized by sex and age group, were obtained from the Department of Informatics of the Unified Health System (DATASUS) database. Stroke-related mortality included deaths recorded under the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) codes for subarachnoid hemorrhage (I60), intracerebral hemorrhage (I61), cerebral infarction (I63), and stroke not specified as hemorrhagic or ischemic (I64). Temporal trends in stroke mortality were assessed using joinpoint regression analysis. <b>Results:</b> From 2000 to 2021, there was a significant reduction in proportional mortality from stroke, with an overall decrease of −3.7% (<i>p</i> < 0.001). When analyzed by sex, the decline was −3.0% (<i>p</i> < 0.001) for males and −3.9% (<i>p</i> < 0.001) for females. The most significant decrease in proportional mortality was observed in the 50 to 59 age group, with an average annual percentage change of −4.9% (<i>p</i> < 0.001). The 30 to 39 age group exhibited the smallest decline, with an average annual percentage change of −2.4% (<i>p</i> < 0.001). No significant segments were observed in the 40 to 49, 60 to 69, and 70 to 79 age groups during the study period. <b>Conclusions:</b> This study identified a notable decline in stroke-related proportional mortality in the adult population of Espírito Santo between 2000 and 2021. While males had a higher absolute number of deaths, females exhibited a higher proportional mortality rate, underscoring the need for targeted preventive measures and effective acute stroke treatment, particularly among men.https://www.mdpi.com/2673-3986/6/2/28strokemortalityproportional mortalityepidemiologytrendsjoinpoint regression
spellingShingle Casanova André Motopa Mpuhua
Orivaldo Florencio de Souza
Blanca Elena Guerrero Daboin
Italla Maria Pinheiro Bezerra
Marcelino Na Blei
Thiago Dias Sarti
Vithor Ely Bortolin da Silva
Luiz Carlos de Abreu
Proportional Stroke Mortality in Espírito Santo, Brazil: A 20-Year Joinpoint Regression Study
Epidemiologia
stroke
mortality
proportional mortality
epidemiology
trends
joinpoint regression
title Proportional Stroke Mortality in Espírito Santo, Brazil: A 20-Year Joinpoint Regression Study
title_full Proportional Stroke Mortality in Espírito Santo, Brazil: A 20-Year Joinpoint Regression Study
title_fullStr Proportional Stroke Mortality in Espírito Santo, Brazil: A 20-Year Joinpoint Regression Study
title_full_unstemmed Proportional Stroke Mortality in Espírito Santo, Brazil: A 20-Year Joinpoint Regression Study
title_short Proportional Stroke Mortality in Espírito Santo, Brazil: A 20-Year Joinpoint Regression Study
title_sort proportional stroke mortality in espirito santo brazil a 20 year joinpoint regression study
topic stroke
mortality
proportional mortality
epidemiology
trends
joinpoint regression
url https://www.mdpi.com/2673-3986/6/2/28
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