Search Results - Bayesian decision theory

Use of Bayesian Networks to Analyze Port Variables in Order to Make Sustainable Planning and Management Decision by Beatriz Molina Serrano, Nicoleta González-Cancelas, Francisco Soler-Flores, Samir Awad-Nuñez, Alberto Camarero Orive

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Value of Bayesian Pre-Posterior Information for Enhancing Life-Cycle Cost Analysis of Highway Investments by Baraa A. Alfasi, Ata M. Khan

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Information‐Theoretic Scores for Bayesian Model Selection and Similarity Analysis: Concept and Application to a Groundwater Problem by Maria Fernanda Morales Oreamuno, Sergey Oladyshkin, Wolfgang Nowak

“…Exploring the connection between Bayesian inference and information theory, we explicitly link BME and ELPD together with RE and IE to highlight the information flow in BMS and BMJ analyses. …”
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User Concerns Analysis and Bayesian Scenario Modeling of Typhoon Cascading Disasters Based on Online Public Opinion by Yirui Mao, Shuai Hong, Jin Qi, Sensen Wu

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Bayesian adaptive trials for social policy by Sally Cripps, Anna Lopatnikova, Hadi Mohasel Afshar, Ben Gales, Roman Marchant, Gilad Francis, Catarina Moreira, Alex Fischer

“…Recognizing the crucial need for evidence-based approaches in public policy, the proposed approach aims to lower barriers to the adoption of evidence-based methods and to align evaluation processes more closely with the dynamic nature of policy cycles. BATs, grounded in decision theory, offer a dynamic, “learning as we go” approach, enabling the integration of diverse information types and facilitating a continuous, iterative process of policy evaluation. …”
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A Strategic Hydrogen Supplier Assessment Using a Hybrid MCDA Framework with a Game Theory-Driven Criteria Analysis by Jettarat Janmontree, Aditya Shinde, Hartmut Zadek, Sebastian Trojahn, Kasin Ransikarbum

“…This study proposes a novel hybrid MCDA framework that integrates the Bayesian Best–Worst Method (BWM), Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), and Entropy Weight Method (EWM) for robust criteria weighting, which is aggregated using a game theory-based model to resolve inconsistencies and capture the complementary strengths of each technique. …”
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Analyzing water footprint and water resources sustainability in China’s arid Northwest with Bayesian network by Lingyun Zhang, Lingxiao Sun, Yang Yu, Xiaoyun Ding, Zengkun Guo, Ruide Yu

“…To promote the sustainable development of both the economy and water resources, this study integrates the water footprint (WF) theory with a Bayesian network (BN) model to probabilistically characterize the uncertainties of influencing factors in water sustainability assessment, thus providing a flexible and effective decision-support tool. …”
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Analysis of informativeness of features of classification of dangerous weather events based on radar observation results by O. V. Vasiliev, E. S. Boyarenko, A. N. Savelyev, N. V. Gorbachev

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Bayesian-Optimized Multi-Task Gaussian Process Regression With Composite Kernels for Soybean Oil Futures Forecasting by Hui-Dong Yin, Yi-Yang Li

“…The framework incorporates futures market indicators and employs spectral analysis with Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) theory for feature alignment. Using a decade-long dataset (2015–2024) of daily soybean oil prices, the model undergoes rigorous validation via cross-validated Bayesian optimization, bootstrap error estimation, and posterior predictive intervals. …”
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NEURAL NETWORK MODEL OF DIAGNOSTICS OF STAGES OF DEVELOPING CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY by S. A. Gorbatkov, S. A. Farkhieva

“…The model should serve as a tool for improving the objectivity and quality of decisions on the restructuring of corporate debt. The study was conducted on the basis of neural network modelling and system analysis methods, methods of decision-making theory, a solution of inverse problems of interpretation, i.e. extraction of new knowledge from data. …”
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