Prediction of electric power and load forcasting using LSTM technique for EMS

A designed electric load and energy forecasting is proposed for buildings. Two different forecasting models, one for electricity consumption (medium-term load forecasting MTLF) and another for electrical en- ergy (very short-term) are proposed, compared, and interpreted. To feed those prediction mod...

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Main Authors: Moustakim Mohammed Amine, Nasser Tamou, Elkamoun Najib, Essadki Ahmed
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2025-01-01
Series:EPJ Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.epj-conferences.org/articles/epjconf/pdf/2025/15/epjconf_cistem2024_03005.pdf
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author Moustakim Mohammed Amine
Nasser Tamou
Elkamoun Najib
Essadki Ahmed
author_facet Moustakim Mohammed Amine
Nasser Tamou
Elkamoun Najib
Essadki Ahmed
author_sort Moustakim Mohammed Amine
collection DOAJ
description A designed electric load and energy forecasting is proposed for buildings. Two different forecasting models, one for electricity consumption (medium-term load forecasting MTLF) and another for electrical en- ergy (very short-term) are proposed, compared, and interpreted. To feed those prediction models, and depending on dataset quality, two available online websites are chosen. Forecasting models are developed by PYTHON programming language, using various libraries dedicated to machine learning projects, such as ’TensorFlow’, ’Kiras’ and ’Scikit-learn’, and others for the visualization of results and data visualization like ’MatPlotLib’ and ’Seaborn’, and many other libraries. Because of the type of prediction based on time series, we used Long Short Term Memory (LSTM-type) neural network models. The load forecasting model proposed in this study outperformed a previous engineering work on the same dataset. The proposed model achieved a minimal MAPE of 3.74% and a minimal RMSE that was approximately 20% lower than the engineer’s work. This article presents the proposed work and its results. Simulation results are presented using Google collaboratory the hosted Jupyter Notebook service.
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spelling doaj-art-ff4d37a1e55e4ed490ca6bcd173fc9082025-07-04T09:32:25ZengEDP SciencesEPJ Web of Conferences2100-014X2025-01-013300300510.1051/epjconf/202533003005epjconf_cistem2024_03005Prediction of electric power and load forcasting using LSTM technique for EMSMoustakim Mohammed Amine0Nasser Tamou1Elkamoun Najib2Essadki Ahmed3ST2I. ENSIAS, Mohammed V UniversityST2I. ENSIAS, Mohammed V UniversitySTIC Laboratory. Faculty of Sciences Chouaib Doukkali UniversityHigh National School of Arts and Crafts (ENSAM), Mohammed V UniversityA designed electric load and energy forecasting is proposed for buildings. Two different forecasting models, one for electricity consumption (medium-term load forecasting MTLF) and another for electrical en- ergy (very short-term) are proposed, compared, and interpreted. To feed those prediction models, and depending on dataset quality, two available online websites are chosen. Forecasting models are developed by PYTHON programming language, using various libraries dedicated to machine learning projects, such as ’TensorFlow’, ’Kiras’ and ’Scikit-learn’, and others for the visualization of results and data visualization like ’MatPlotLib’ and ’Seaborn’, and many other libraries. Because of the type of prediction based on time series, we used Long Short Term Memory (LSTM-type) neural network models. The load forecasting model proposed in this study outperformed a previous engineering work on the same dataset. The proposed model achieved a minimal MAPE of 3.74% and a minimal RMSE that was approximately 20% lower than the engineer’s work. This article presents the proposed work and its results. Simulation results are presented using Google collaboratory the hosted Jupyter Notebook service.https://www.epj-conferences.org/articles/epjconf/pdf/2025/15/epjconf_cistem2024_03005.pdf
spellingShingle Moustakim Mohammed Amine
Nasser Tamou
Elkamoun Najib
Essadki Ahmed
Prediction of electric power and load forcasting using LSTM technique for EMS
EPJ Web of Conferences
title Prediction of electric power and load forcasting using LSTM technique for EMS
title_full Prediction of electric power and load forcasting using LSTM technique for EMS
title_fullStr Prediction of electric power and load forcasting using LSTM technique for EMS
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of electric power and load forcasting using LSTM technique for EMS
title_short Prediction of electric power and load forcasting using LSTM technique for EMS
title_sort prediction of electric power and load forcasting using lstm technique for ems
url https://www.epj-conferences.org/articles/epjconf/pdf/2025/15/epjconf_cistem2024_03005.pdf
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