Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Passive Safety Systems for LOCA Analysis Using EMRALD

This research explores Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment (DPRA) using EMRALD to evaluate the reliability and safety of passive safety systems in nuclear reactors, with a focus on mitigating Loss of Coolant Accidents (LOCAs). The BWRX-300 Small Modular Reactor (SMR) is used as an example to illus...

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Main Authors: Saikat Basak, Lixuan Lu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-06-01
Series:Journal of Nuclear Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4362/6/2/18
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author Saikat Basak
Lixuan Lu
author_facet Saikat Basak
Lixuan Lu
author_sort Saikat Basak
collection DOAJ
description This research explores Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment (DPRA) using EMRALD to evaluate the reliability and safety of passive safety systems in nuclear reactors, with a focus on mitigating Loss of Coolant Accidents (LOCAs). The BWRX-300 Small Modular Reactor (SMR) is used as an example to illustrate the proposed DPRA methodology, which is broadly applicable for enhancing traditional Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA). Unlike static PSA, DPRA incorporates time-dependent interactions and system dynamics, allowing for a more realistic assessment of accident progression. EMRALD enables the modelling of system failures and interactions in real time using dynamic event trees and Monte Carlo simulations. This study identifies critical vulnerabilities in passive safety systems and quantifies the Core Damage Frequency (CDF) under LOCA scenarios. The findings demonstrate the advantages of DPRA over traditional PSA in capturing complex failure mechanisms and providing a more comprehensive and accurate risk assessment. The insights gained from this research contribute to improving passive safety system designs and enhancing nuclear reactor safety strategies for next-generation reactors.
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spelling doaj-art-f92f9659b7744e20b6fe5859a7b9c39d2025-06-25T14:01:54ZengMDPI AGJournal of Nuclear Engineering2673-43622025-06-01621810.3390/jne6020018Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Passive Safety Systems for LOCA Analysis Using EMRALDSaikat Basak0Lixuan Lu1Department of Energy and Nuclear Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Applied Science, Ontario Tech University, Oshawa, ON L1G 0C5, CanadaDepartment of Energy and Nuclear Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Applied Science, Ontario Tech University, Oshawa, ON L1G 0C5, CanadaThis research explores Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment (DPRA) using EMRALD to evaluate the reliability and safety of passive safety systems in nuclear reactors, with a focus on mitigating Loss of Coolant Accidents (LOCAs). The BWRX-300 Small Modular Reactor (SMR) is used as an example to illustrate the proposed DPRA methodology, which is broadly applicable for enhancing traditional Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA). Unlike static PSA, DPRA incorporates time-dependent interactions and system dynamics, allowing for a more realistic assessment of accident progression. EMRALD enables the modelling of system failures and interactions in real time using dynamic event trees and Monte Carlo simulations. This study identifies critical vulnerabilities in passive safety systems and quantifies the Core Damage Frequency (CDF) under LOCA scenarios. The findings demonstrate the advantages of DPRA over traditional PSA in capturing complex failure mechanisms and providing a more comprehensive and accurate risk assessment. The insights gained from this research contribute to improving passive safety system designs and enhancing nuclear reactor safety strategies for next-generation reactors.https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4362/6/2/18safety assessmentSMRDPRAEMRALDpassive safety systems
spellingShingle Saikat Basak
Lixuan Lu
Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Passive Safety Systems for LOCA Analysis Using EMRALD
Journal of Nuclear Engineering
safety assessment
SMR
DPRA
EMRALD
passive safety systems
title Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Passive Safety Systems for LOCA Analysis Using EMRALD
title_full Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Passive Safety Systems for LOCA Analysis Using EMRALD
title_fullStr Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Passive Safety Systems for LOCA Analysis Using EMRALD
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Passive Safety Systems for LOCA Analysis Using EMRALD
title_short Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Passive Safety Systems for LOCA Analysis Using EMRALD
title_sort dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of passive safety systems for loca analysis using emrald
topic safety assessment
SMR
DPRA
EMRALD
passive safety systems
url https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4362/6/2/18
work_keys_str_mv AT saikatbasak dynamicprobabilisticriskassessmentofpassivesafetysystemsforlocaanalysisusingemrald
AT lixuanlu dynamicprobabilisticriskassessmentofpassivesafetysystemsforlocaanalysisusingemrald