FORECASTING THE INVESTMENT INDICATORS ON THE BASIS OF SOLUTION TREES
The article shows specific features of short-term forecast models, which were realized on the basis of the solution trees method applied to regression task. The authors provide the description of key characteristics of the trees solution method using CART algorithm. The necessity to use alternative...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
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Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
2017-09-01
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| Series: | Вестник Российского экономического университета имени Г. В. Плеханова |
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| Online Access: | https://vest.rea.ru/jour/article/view/226 |
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| _version_ | 1839588781128155136 |
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| author | Olga V. Kitova Igor B. Kolmakov Ilya A. Penkov |
| author_facet | Olga V. Kitova Igor B. Kolmakov Ilya A. Penkov |
| author_sort | Olga V. Kitova |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The article shows specific features of short-term forecast models, which were realized on the basis of the solution trees method applied to regression task. The authors provide the description of key characteristics of the trees solution method using CART algorithm. The necessity to use alternative intellectual methods of forecasting was grounded due to more difficult and highly uncertain nature of political and social-economic processes. The mechanism of final summing-up of forecasts was described. The authors put forward several variants of implementing models designed by Python programming. Computer experiments were conducted to adjust model parameters that can guarantee acceptable results in forecasting investment indicators. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-ed8077c7ca8e4be790a9abfb5e3fa2b0 |
| institution | Matheson Library |
| issn | 2413-2829 2587-9251 |
| language | Russian |
| publishDate | 2017-09-01 |
| publisher | Plekhanov Russian University of Economics |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Вестник Российского экономического университета имени Г. В. Плеханова |
| spelling | doaj-art-ed8077c7ca8e4be790a9abfb5e3fa2b02025-08-03T13:32:02ZrusPlekhanov Russian University of EconomicsВестник Российского экономического университета имени Г. В. Плеханова2413-28292587-92512017-09-0106869510.21686/2413-2829-2016-6-86-95225FORECASTING THE INVESTMENT INDICATORS ON THE BASIS OF SOLUTION TREESOlga V. Kitova0Igor B. Kolmakov1Ilya A. Penkov2Plekhanov Russian University of EconomicsPlekhanov Russian University of EconomicsPlekhanov Russian University of EconomicsThe article shows specific features of short-term forecast models, which were realized on the basis of the solution trees method applied to regression task. The authors provide the description of key characteristics of the trees solution method using CART algorithm. The necessity to use alternative intellectual methods of forecasting was grounded due to more difficult and highly uncertain nature of political and social-economic processes. The mechanism of final summing-up of forecasts was described. The authors put forward several variants of implementing models designed by Python programming. Computer experiments were conducted to adjust model parameters that can guarantee acceptable results in forecasting investment indicators.https://vest.rea.ru/jour/article/view/226investment indicatorsshort-term forecastingcart algorithmsystem of hybrid models |
| spellingShingle | Olga V. Kitova Igor B. Kolmakov Ilya A. Penkov FORECASTING THE INVESTMENT INDICATORS ON THE BASIS OF SOLUTION TREES Вестник Российского экономического университета имени Г. В. Плеханова investment indicators short-term forecasting cart algorithm system of hybrid models |
| title | FORECASTING THE INVESTMENT INDICATORS ON THE BASIS OF SOLUTION TREES |
| title_full | FORECASTING THE INVESTMENT INDICATORS ON THE BASIS OF SOLUTION TREES |
| title_fullStr | FORECASTING THE INVESTMENT INDICATORS ON THE BASIS OF SOLUTION TREES |
| title_full_unstemmed | FORECASTING THE INVESTMENT INDICATORS ON THE BASIS OF SOLUTION TREES |
| title_short | FORECASTING THE INVESTMENT INDICATORS ON THE BASIS OF SOLUTION TREES |
| title_sort | forecasting the investment indicators on the basis of solution trees |
| topic | investment indicators short-term forecasting cart algorithm system of hybrid models |
| url | https://vest.rea.ru/jour/article/view/226 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT olgavkitova forecastingtheinvestmentindicatorsonthebasisofsolutiontrees AT igorbkolmakov forecastingtheinvestmentindicatorsonthebasisofsolutiontrees AT ilyaapenkov forecastingtheinvestmentindicatorsonthebasisofsolutiontrees |