Simulation of strawberry yield using dry matter distribution based on the potential growth of the sink–source organs

Strawberry, a vital crop in horticulture, faces challenges like pest infestations and climate variability that affect stable production. A crop model based on photosynthesis-derived dry matter (DM) production is an effective method to examine the environment–plant growth relationship. The developed...

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Main Authors: Tomomi Sugiyama, Yusuke Kakei, Yasunaga Iwasaki, Atsushi Oda, Masahide Isozaki
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Plant Science
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2025.1544735/full
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author Tomomi Sugiyama
Yusuke Kakei
Yasunaga Iwasaki
Atsushi Oda
Masahide Isozaki
author_facet Tomomi Sugiyama
Yusuke Kakei
Yasunaga Iwasaki
Atsushi Oda
Masahide Isozaki
author_sort Tomomi Sugiyama
collection DOAJ
description Strawberry, a vital crop in horticulture, faces challenges like pest infestations and climate variability that affect stable production. A crop model based on photosynthesis-derived dry matter (DM) production is an effective method to examine the environment–plant growth relationship. The developed model simulates total DM production and yield overtime using greenhouse environment, each inflorescence anthesis dates, leaf area, and physiological parameters as inputs. Total DM production was accurately simulated by inputting leaf area measured by either destructive measurement or web-camera based imaging without destructive measurements (RRMSE = 0.15 and 0.17). Cumulative yields closely matched measured values across two distinct growing seasons (RRMSE = 0.11–0.15). The monthly yield generally aligned with the observed values, except at the beginning and end of the harvest period, where the model tended to overestimate production. These result suggested the process of DM distribution calculation based on the potential growth of the individual leaves and fruit clusters present on that day was effective in capturing the dynamics of DM distribution to the fruit. The model could be applied to strawberry production in greenhouses controlled with optimal ranges for the plant growth. The model’s applicability to diverse greenhouse conditions would be broadened by improving the physiological parameters in future work.
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publishDate 2025-07-01
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format Article
series Frontiers in Plant Science
spelling doaj-art-e8b5aaa6c3d343b6a9e9bc4f07e97c9e2025-07-22T05:29:43ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Plant Science1664-462X2025-07-011610.3389/fpls.2025.15447351544735Simulation of strawberry yield using dry matter distribution based on the potential growth of the sink–source organsTomomi Sugiyama0Yusuke Kakei1Yasunaga Iwasaki2Atsushi Oda3Masahide Isozaki4Institute of Vegetable and Floriculture Science, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization, Tsukuba, JapanInstitute of Vegetable and Floriculture Science, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization, Tsukuba, JapanSchool of Agriculture, Meiji University, Kawasaki, JapanInstitute of Vegetable and Floriculture Science, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization, Tsukuba, JapanInstitute of Vegetable and Floriculture Science, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization, Tsukuba, JapanStrawberry, a vital crop in horticulture, faces challenges like pest infestations and climate variability that affect stable production. A crop model based on photosynthesis-derived dry matter (DM) production is an effective method to examine the environment–plant growth relationship. The developed model simulates total DM production and yield overtime using greenhouse environment, each inflorescence anthesis dates, leaf area, and physiological parameters as inputs. Total DM production was accurately simulated by inputting leaf area measured by either destructive measurement or web-camera based imaging without destructive measurements (RRMSE = 0.15 and 0.17). Cumulative yields closely matched measured values across two distinct growing seasons (RRMSE = 0.11–0.15). The monthly yield generally aligned with the observed values, except at the beginning and end of the harvest period, where the model tended to overestimate production. These result suggested the process of DM distribution calculation based on the potential growth of the individual leaves and fruit clusters present on that day was effective in capturing the dynamics of DM distribution to the fruit. The model could be applied to strawberry production in greenhouses controlled with optimal ranges for the plant growth. The model’s applicability to diverse greenhouse conditions would be broadened by improving the physiological parameters in future work.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2025.1544735/fullFragaria × ananassagreenhousecrop modelvalidationyield prediction
spellingShingle Tomomi Sugiyama
Yusuke Kakei
Yasunaga Iwasaki
Atsushi Oda
Masahide Isozaki
Simulation of strawberry yield using dry matter distribution based on the potential growth of the sink–source organs
Frontiers in Plant Science
Fragaria × ananassa
greenhouse
crop model
validation
yield prediction
title Simulation of strawberry yield using dry matter distribution based on the potential growth of the sink–source organs
title_full Simulation of strawberry yield using dry matter distribution based on the potential growth of the sink–source organs
title_fullStr Simulation of strawberry yield using dry matter distribution based on the potential growth of the sink–source organs
title_full_unstemmed Simulation of strawberry yield using dry matter distribution based on the potential growth of the sink–source organs
title_short Simulation of strawberry yield using dry matter distribution based on the potential growth of the sink–source organs
title_sort simulation of strawberry yield using dry matter distribution based on the potential growth of the sink source organs
topic Fragaria × ananassa
greenhouse
crop model
validation
yield prediction
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2025.1544735/full
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