Global cancer burdens related to human behaviors in 1990–2044: a population-based cross-sectional and forecast study
Background: Human behaviors and tumors go hand in hand. The wave of globalization has brought about a global homogenization of human behaviors, which further triggers a potential global human behavior-related cancer burden (HBRCB) convergence. Methods: This study systematically evaluated the global,...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2025-06-01
|
| Series: | Journal of the National Cancer Center |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667005424001042 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1839650289455464448 |
|---|---|
| author | Weiqiu Jin Kaichen Huang Mengwei Zhang Longlin Jiang Yanruo Huang Han Wang Yu Tian Hongda Zhu Ningyuan Zou Hanbo Pan Wendi Xuzhang Long Jiang Jia Huang Qingquan Luo Xiaodan Ye Zheng Yuan |
| author_facet | Weiqiu Jin Kaichen Huang Mengwei Zhang Longlin Jiang Yanruo Huang Han Wang Yu Tian Hongda Zhu Ningyuan Zou Hanbo Pan Wendi Xuzhang Long Jiang Jia Huang Qingquan Luo Xiaodan Ye Zheng Yuan |
| author_sort | Weiqiu Jin |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Background: Human behaviors and tumors go hand in hand. The wave of globalization has brought about a global homogenization of human behaviors, which further triggers a potential global human behavior-related cancer burden (HBRCB) convergence. Methods: This study systematically evaluated the global, regional, and national metrics of HBRCBs over the last 30 years using data from the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) 2019 results and the WHO Global Health Observatory (GHO) data repository. Results: The results showed the global remission and convergence of HBRCB in the last three decades and the foreseeable future (2020–2044). Overall, HBRCBs are decreasing with the global emphasis on positive dietary habits, safe sex, substance addiction withdrawal, and active physical exercise habits. Globally, from 1990 to 2019, with the development of social development index (SDI) level from 0.511 to 0.651, the HBRCBs had been decreasing from 1507.908 to 1145.344 in age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (ASDALY) and from 61.467 to 49.449 in (age-standardized death rates) ASDR per 100,000 population with changes of −24.04 % and −19.55 %, respectively. Meanwhile, the variance in HBRCBs among countries and territories generally showed a decreasing or flat trend. The variance of HBRCBs among 204 countries and territories in 2019–2044 decreased from 1495.210 to 449.202 in males and from 214.640 to 78.848 in females for ASDR due to all behavior risks, and from 911,211.676 to 317,233.590 in males and from 146,171.660 to 62,926.660 in females for ASDALY. The global HBRCBs was becoming more uniform due to the globalization of human behaviors. Conclusions: This study revealed the significance of addressing HBRCBs as a uniform and continuous issue in future global health promotion. It also demonstrated the potential existence of a chain effect in global health, where globalization leads to human behavior homogenization, which in turn results in HBRCB convergence. Properly measuring the commonalities and individualities among different regions and finding a balance when designing and evaluating HBRCB-related global policies in the global convergence trend of HBRCBs will be major concerns in the future. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-e6834ac3cc95414fbe51a1a214e93d12 |
| institution | Matheson Library |
| issn | 2667-0054 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-06-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of the National Cancer Center |
| spelling | doaj-art-e6834ac3cc95414fbe51a1a214e93d122025-06-27T05:52:28ZengElsevierJournal of the National Cancer Center2667-00542025-06-0153346356Global cancer burdens related to human behaviors in 1990–2044: a population-based cross-sectional and forecast studyWeiqiu Jin0Kaichen Huang1Mengwei Zhang2Longlin Jiang3Yanruo Huang4Han Wang5Yu Tian6Hongda Zhu7Ningyuan Zou8Hanbo Pan9Wendi Xuzhang10Long Jiang11Jia Huang12Qingquan Luo13Xiaodan Ye14Zheng Yuan15Department of Thoracic Surgery, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Research Institute, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China (UESTC), Chengdu, China; Shanghai Lung Cancer Center, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; Corresponding author. Department of Radiology, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of Liver Surgery, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Research Institute, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China (UESTC), Chengdu, ChinaDepartment of Anesthesiology, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, ChinaDepartment of General Surgery, Comprehensive Breast Health Center, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Lung Cancer Center, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Lung Cancer Center, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Lung Cancer Center, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Lung Cancer Center, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Lung Cancer Center, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Lung Cancer Center, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Lung Cancer Center, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Lung Cancer Center, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; Corresponding author. Department of Radiology, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.Department of Radiology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China; Shanghai Institute of Medical Imaging, Fudan University, Shanghai, China; Department of Cancer Center, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China; Department of Radiology, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; Corresponding author. Department of Radiology, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.Department of Radiology, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; Corresponding author. Department of Radiology, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.Background: Human behaviors and tumors go hand in hand. The wave of globalization has brought about a global homogenization of human behaviors, which further triggers a potential global human behavior-related cancer burden (HBRCB) convergence. Methods: This study systematically evaluated the global, regional, and national metrics of HBRCBs over the last 30 years using data from the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) 2019 results and the WHO Global Health Observatory (GHO) data repository. Results: The results showed the global remission and convergence of HBRCB in the last three decades and the foreseeable future (2020–2044). Overall, HBRCBs are decreasing with the global emphasis on positive dietary habits, safe sex, substance addiction withdrawal, and active physical exercise habits. Globally, from 1990 to 2019, with the development of social development index (SDI) level from 0.511 to 0.651, the HBRCBs had been decreasing from 1507.908 to 1145.344 in age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (ASDALY) and from 61.467 to 49.449 in (age-standardized death rates) ASDR per 100,000 population with changes of −24.04 % and −19.55 %, respectively. Meanwhile, the variance in HBRCBs among countries and territories generally showed a decreasing or flat trend. The variance of HBRCBs among 204 countries and territories in 2019–2044 decreased from 1495.210 to 449.202 in males and from 214.640 to 78.848 in females for ASDR due to all behavior risks, and from 911,211.676 to 317,233.590 in males and from 146,171.660 to 62,926.660 in females for ASDALY. The global HBRCBs was becoming more uniform due to the globalization of human behaviors. Conclusions: This study revealed the significance of addressing HBRCBs as a uniform and continuous issue in future global health promotion. It also demonstrated the potential existence of a chain effect in global health, where globalization leads to human behavior homogenization, which in turn results in HBRCB convergence. Properly measuring the commonalities and individualities among different regions and finding a balance when designing and evaluating HBRCB-related global policies in the global convergence trend of HBRCBs will be major concerns in the future.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667005424001042Cancer burdenHuman behaviorAge-period-cohort analysis |
| spellingShingle | Weiqiu Jin Kaichen Huang Mengwei Zhang Longlin Jiang Yanruo Huang Han Wang Yu Tian Hongda Zhu Ningyuan Zou Hanbo Pan Wendi Xuzhang Long Jiang Jia Huang Qingquan Luo Xiaodan Ye Zheng Yuan Global cancer burdens related to human behaviors in 1990–2044: a population-based cross-sectional and forecast study Journal of the National Cancer Center Cancer burden Human behavior Age-period-cohort analysis |
| title | Global cancer burdens related to human behaviors in 1990–2044: a population-based cross-sectional and forecast study |
| title_full | Global cancer burdens related to human behaviors in 1990–2044: a population-based cross-sectional and forecast study |
| title_fullStr | Global cancer burdens related to human behaviors in 1990–2044: a population-based cross-sectional and forecast study |
| title_full_unstemmed | Global cancer burdens related to human behaviors in 1990–2044: a population-based cross-sectional and forecast study |
| title_short | Global cancer burdens related to human behaviors in 1990–2044: a population-based cross-sectional and forecast study |
| title_sort | global cancer burdens related to human behaviors in 1990 2044 a population based cross sectional and forecast study |
| topic | Cancer burden Human behavior Age-period-cohort analysis |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667005424001042 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT weiqiujin globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT kaichenhuang globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT mengweizhang globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT longlinjiang globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT yanruohuang globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT hanwang globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT yutian globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT hongdazhu globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT ningyuanzou globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT hanbopan globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT wendixuzhang globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT longjiang globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT jiahuang globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT qingquanluo globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT xiaodanye globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy AT zhengyuan globalcancerburdensrelatedtohumanbehaviorsin19902044apopulationbasedcrosssectionalandforecaststudy |