On the Causality Between Tourism Growth and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Turkey

<p>This study investigates the long-run relationshipbetween the real GDP and internationaltourism in Turkey during the time period 1987-2007.For this purpose, tourism-led growth hypothesis(TLG) is tested by using two different methods:a vector error correction model (VEC) and anautoregressive...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ilhan OZTURK, Ali ACARAVCI
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Babes-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca 2009-02-01
Series:Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences
Online Access:https://rtsa.ro/tras/index.php/tras/article/view/193
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1839641070901657600
author Ilhan OZTURK
Ali ACARAVCI
author_facet Ilhan OZTURK
Ali ACARAVCI
author_sort Ilhan OZTURK
collection DOAJ
description <p>This study investigates the long-run relationshipbetween the real GDP and internationaltourism in Turkey during the time period 1987-2007.For this purpose, tourism-led growth hypothesis(TLG) is tested by using two different methods:a vector error correction model (VEC) and anautoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL).The results of the Johansen cointegration test aswell as of the ARDL bound test show that thereis no unique long-term or equilibrium relationshipbetween the real GDP and international tourism.Therefore, the TLG hypothesis cannot be inferredfor the Turkish economy because no cointegrationexists between international tourism and the realGDP. Moreover, Granger causality test and errorcorrection model cannot be run any further in thelong-term period.</p>
format Article
id doaj-art-df964cb7b58c4fcea545362c8bc87323
institution Matheson Library
issn 1842-2845
language English
publishDate 2009-02-01
publisher Babes-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca
record_format Article
series Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences
spelling doaj-art-df964cb7b58c4fcea545362c8bc873232025-07-03T07:31:28ZengBabes-Bolyai University, Cluj-NapocaTransylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences1842-28452009-02-015257381209On the Causality Between Tourism Growth and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from TurkeyIlhan OZTURK0Ali ACARAVCI1Assistant Professor, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cag University, Mersin, TurkeyAssistant Professor, Department of Economics, Mustafa Kemal University, Hatay, Turkey<p>This study investigates the long-run relationshipbetween the real GDP and internationaltourism in Turkey during the time period 1987-2007.For this purpose, tourism-led growth hypothesis(TLG) is tested by using two different methods:a vector error correction model (VEC) and anautoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL).The results of the Johansen cointegration test aswell as of the ARDL bound test show that thereis no unique long-term or equilibrium relationshipbetween the real GDP and international tourism.Therefore, the TLG hypothesis cannot be inferredfor the Turkish economy because no cointegrationexists between international tourism and the realGDP. Moreover, Granger causality test and errorcorrection model cannot be run any further in thelong-term period.</p>https://rtsa.ro/tras/index.php/tras/article/view/193
spellingShingle Ilhan OZTURK
Ali ACARAVCI
On the Causality Between Tourism Growth and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Turkey
Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences
title On the Causality Between Tourism Growth and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Turkey
title_full On the Causality Between Tourism Growth and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Turkey
title_fullStr On the Causality Between Tourism Growth and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Turkey
title_full_unstemmed On the Causality Between Tourism Growth and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Turkey
title_short On the Causality Between Tourism Growth and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Turkey
title_sort on the causality between tourism growth and economic growth empirical evidence from turkey
url https://rtsa.ro/tras/index.php/tras/article/view/193
work_keys_str_mv AT ilhanozturk onthecausalitybetweentourismgrowthandeconomicgrowthempiricalevidencefromturkey
AT aliacaravci onthecausalitybetweentourismgrowthandeconomicgrowthempiricalevidencefromturkey