Work absenteeism across economic activity sectors and its association with COVID-19-like illness prevalence in the Netherlands, 2020–2023

The monitoring of work absenteeism can inform pandemic decision making, besides the surveillance of disease end-points like mortality and intensive care bed occupancy. For instance, high disease prevalence accompanied by elevated levels of absenteeism in the healthcare sector will increase the strai...

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Main Authors: Hester Korthals Altes, Jan Van De Kassteele, Bram Wisse, Maria Xiridou, Albert Jan Van Hoek, Jacco Wallinga
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-09-01
Series:Epidemics
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436525000295
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author Hester Korthals Altes
Jan Van De Kassteele
Bram Wisse
Maria Xiridou
Albert Jan Van Hoek
Jacco Wallinga
author_facet Hester Korthals Altes
Jan Van De Kassteele
Bram Wisse
Maria Xiridou
Albert Jan Van Hoek
Jacco Wallinga
author_sort Hester Korthals Altes
collection DOAJ
description The monitoring of work absenteeism can inform pandemic decision making, besides the surveillance of disease end-points like mortality and intensive care bed occupancy. For instance, high disease prevalence accompanied by elevated levels of absenteeism in the healthcare sector will increase the strain on the health care system, and may necessitate adaptation of the control measures. This highlights the need to assess the association between COVID-19 disease prevalence and absenteeism in relevant economic sectors. We initiated the comprehensive monitoring and analysis of work absenteeism and developed an autoregressive time series model which combined COVID-19 prevalence as measured through syndromic surveillance, with absenteeism across various economic activity sectors in the Netherlands. The analysis was updated regularly and shared with policy makers. Overall, prevalence of COVID-19-like illnesses was the most important contributor to variation in absenteeism over the period November 2020-May 2023, with absenteeism rates varying markedly between activity sectors. Of the sectors well-covered by the absenteeism database, the Education and Logistics sectors showed the greatest contribution of a seasonal pattern independent of COVID-19 to absenteeism.
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series Epidemics
spelling doaj-art-d7bca9c249d847c5932ceef3c6bcebb72025-07-09T04:32:06ZengElsevierEpidemics1755-43652025-09-0152100841Work absenteeism across economic activity sectors and its association with COVID-19-like illness prevalence in the Netherlands, 2020–2023Hester Korthals Altes0Jan Van De Kassteele1Bram Wisse2Maria Xiridou3Albert Jan Van Hoek4Jacco Wallinga5Center for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), the Netherlands; Corresponding author.Center for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), the NetherlandsResearch and Business Development, HumanTotalCare (HTC), Utrecht, the NetherlandsCenter for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), the NetherlandsCenter for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), the NetherlandsCenter for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), the Netherlands; Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, the NetherlandsThe monitoring of work absenteeism can inform pandemic decision making, besides the surveillance of disease end-points like mortality and intensive care bed occupancy. For instance, high disease prevalence accompanied by elevated levels of absenteeism in the healthcare sector will increase the strain on the health care system, and may necessitate adaptation of the control measures. This highlights the need to assess the association between COVID-19 disease prevalence and absenteeism in relevant economic sectors. We initiated the comprehensive monitoring and analysis of work absenteeism and developed an autoregressive time series model which combined COVID-19 prevalence as measured through syndromic surveillance, with absenteeism across various economic activity sectors in the Netherlands. The analysis was updated regularly and shared with policy makers. Overall, prevalence of COVID-19-like illnesses was the most important contributor to variation in absenteeism over the period November 2020-May 2023, with absenteeism rates varying markedly between activity sectors. Of the sectors well-covered by the absenteeism database, the Education and Logistics sectors showed the greatest contribution of a seasonal pattern independent of COVID-19 to absenteeism.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436525000295Work absenteeismCOVID-19Syndromic surveillanceEconomic activity sectors
spellingShingle Hester Korthals Altes
Jan Van De Kassteele
Bram Wisse
Maria Xiridou
Albert Jan Van Hoek
Jacco Wallinga
Work absenteeism across economic activity sectors and its association with COVID-19-like illness prevalence in the Netherlands, 2020–2023
Epidemics
Work absenteeism
COVID-19
Syndromic surveillance
Economic activity sectors
title Work absenteeism across economic activity sectors and its association with COVID-19-like illness prevalence in the Netherlands, 2020–2023
title_full Work absenteeism across economic activity sectors and its association with COVID-19-like illness prevalence in the Netherlands, 2020–2023
title_fullStr Work absenteeism across economic activity sectors and its association with COVID-19-like illness prevalence in the Netherlands, 2020–2023
title_full_unstemmed Work absenteeism across economic activity sectors and its association with COVID-19-like illness prevalence in the Netherlands, 2020–2023
title_short Work absenteeism across economic activity sectors and its association with COVID-19-like illness prevalence in the Netherlands, 2020–2023
title_sort work absenteeism across economic activity sectors and its association with covid 19 like illness prevalence in the netherlands 2020 2023
topic Work absenteeism
COVID-19
Syndromic surveillance
Economic activity sectors
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436525000295
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AT mariaxiridou workabsenteeismacrosseconomicactivitysectorsanditsassociationwithcovid19likeillnessprevalenceinthenetherlands20202023
AT albertjanvanhoek workabsenteeismacrosseconomicactivitysectorsanditsassociationwithcovid19likeillnessprevalenceinthenetherlands20202023
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