Pandemic Shock and Economic Variables Responses in ASEAN Countries Using Panel Vector Autoregressive Model
Economic shocks in a country can affect other countries due to openness and cooperative relations between these countries. In addition, the effect on an economic variable will be responded by other related variables such as Economic Growth, Inflation, Money Supply, and Unemployment Rate. This quanti...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Muhammadiyah University Press
2023-04-01
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| Series: | Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan |
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| Online Access: | https://journals2.ums.ac.id/index.php/jep/article/view/9597 |
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| author | Nora Ria Retnasih Yulia Maria Herdianti |
| author_facet | Nora Ria Retnasih Yulia Maria Herdianti |
| author_sort | Nora Ria Retnasih |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Economic shocks in a country can affect other countries due to openness and cooperative relations between these countries. In addition, the effect on an economic variable will be responded by other related variables such as Economic Growth, Inflation, Money Supply, and Unemployment Rate. This quantitative research aims to measure the factors that affect the economy in 10 ASEAN countries in 2014-2020. The method used is panel vector autoregressive (PVAR). The results of the research were divided into several tests. First, the causality test shows that GDP has an effect on inflation and money supply with a one-way causality. Second, the PVAR test shows that the money supply significantly affects inflation and unemployment rate at lags 1 and 2. The follow-up test, namely IRF, shows that the shocks of GDP responded by all economic variables are greater than shocks to other variables. While the results of the VD test show that GDP is the largest contributor to the variation in the value of all economic variables studied, both in the short and long term. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-d0e1d2e7029e4d1990b1ac31f5da03a0 |
| institution | Matheson Library |
| issn | 1411-6081 2460-9331 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2023-04-01 |
| publisher | Muhammadiyah University Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan |
| spelling | doaj-art-d0e1d2e7029e4d1990b1ac31f5da03a02025-07-10T01:26:35ZengMuhammadiyah University PressJurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan1411-60812460-93312023-04-019511110.23917/jep.v24i1.198509660Pandemic Shock and Economic Variables Responses in ASEAN Countries Using Panel Vector Autoregressive ModelNora Ria Retnasih0Yulia Maria Herdianti1UIN Maulana Malik Ibrahim MalangUIN Sayyid Ali Rahmatullah TulungagungEconomic shocks in a country can affect other countries due to openness and cooperative relations between these countries. In addition, the effect on an economic variable will be responded by other related variables such as Economic Growth, Inflation, Money Supply, and Unemployment Rate. This quantitative research aims to measure the factors that affect the economy in 10 ASEAN countries in 2014-2020. The method used is panel vector autoregressive (PVAR). The results of the research were divided into several tests. First, the causality test shows that GDP has an effect on inflation and money supply with a one-way causality. Second, the PVAR test shows that the money supply significantly affects inflation and unemployment rate at lags 1 and 2. The follow-up test, namely IRF, shows that the shocks of GDP responded by all economic variables are greater than shocks to other variables. While the results of the VD test show that GDP is the largest contributor to the variation in the value of all economic variables studied, both in the short and long term.https://journals2.ums.ac.id/index.php/jep/article/view/9597gdpinflationmoney supplyunemployment ratepvar |
| spellingShingle | Nora Ria Retnasih Yulia Maria Herdianti Pandemic Shock and Economic Variables Responses in ASEAN Countries Using Panel Vector Autoregressive Model Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan gdp inflation money supply unemployment rate pvar |
| title | Pandemic Shock and Economic Variables Responses in ASEAN Countries Using Panel Vector Autoregressive Model |
| title_full | Pandemic Shock and Economic Variables Responses in ASEAN Countries Using Panel Vector Autoregressive Model |
| title_fullStr | Pandemic Shock and Economic Variables Responses in ASEAN Countries Using Panel Vector Autoregressive Model |
| title_full_unstemmed | Pandemic Shock and Economic Variables Responses in ASEAN Countries Using Panel Vector Autoregressive Model |
| title_short | Pandemic Shock and Economic Variables Responses in ASEAN Countries Using Panel Vector Autoregressive Model |
| title_sort | pandemic shock and economic variables responses in asean countries using panel vector autoregressive model |
| topic | gdp inflation money supply unemployment rate pvar |
| url | https://journals2.ums.ac.id/index.php/jep/article/view/9597 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT norariaretnasih pandemicshockandeconomicvariablesresponsesinaseancountriesusingpanelvectorautoregressivemodel AT yuliamariaherdianti pandemicshockandeconomicvariablesresponsesinaseancountriesusingpanelvectorautoregressivemodel |