UNEMPLOYMENT FORECAST IN ROMANIA ON THE SHORT-TERM

This paper presents two ways of forecasting the number of unemployed. One method is the one used by the National Commission for Prognosis, and the second is proposed by the authors and uses the absolute average change. The obtained results predict an increase in the number of unemployed in the next...

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Main Authors: Mihaela, SAVU, Delia, TESELIOS
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universităţii "Constantin Brâncoveanu" 2014-03-01
Series:Strategii Manageriale
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.strategiimanageriale.ro/papers/140106.pdf
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author Mihaela, SAVU
Delia, TESELIOS
author_facet Mihaela, SAVU
Delia, TESELIOS
author_sort Mihaela, SAVU
collection DOAJ
description This paper presents two ways of forecasting the number of unemployed. One method is the one used by the National Commission for Prognosis, and the second is proposed by the authors and uses the absolute average change. The obtained results predict an increase in the number of unemployed in the next four years in Romania. Figures obtained through the proposed method are contrary to the values given by the National Commission for Prognosis, which shows a decrease of the indicator between 2013-2016. The economic situation of our country makes us believe that a reduction in the number of unemployed is beneficial, but difficult to achieve in the current period.
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institution Matheson Library
issn 1844-668X
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language English
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publisher Universităţii "Constantin Brâncoveanu"
record_format Article
series Strategii Manageriale
spelling doaj-art-cc18f37e6c7a4e9bb29dc0dc4534c85a2025-08-02T19:34:25ZengUniversităţii "Constantin Brâncoveanu"Strategii Manageriale1844-668X1844-668X2014-03-01VII17176UNEMPLOYMENT FORECAST IN ROMANIA ON THE SHORT-TERMMihaela, SAVU0Delia, TESELIOS1“Constantin Brâncoveanu” University, Romania“Constantin Brâncoveanu” University, RomaniaThis paper presents two ways of forecasting the number of unemployed. One method is the one used by the National Commission for Prognosis, and the second is proposed by the authors and uses the absolute average change. The obtained results predict an increase in the number of unemployed in the next four years in Romania. Figures obtained through the proposed method are contrary to the values given by the National Commission for Prognosis, which shows a decrease of the indicator between 2013-2016. The economic situation of our country makes us believe that a reduction in the number of unemployed is beneficial, but difficult to achieve in the current period.http://www.strategiimanageriale.ro/papers/140106.pdfnumber of unemployedforecastingabsolute average change
spellingShingle Mihaela, SAVU
Delia, TESELIOS
UNEMPLOYMENT FORECAST IN ROMANIA ON THE SHORT-TERM
Strategii Manageriale
number of unemployed
forecasting
absolute average change
title UNEMPLOYMENT FORECAST IN ROMANIA ON THE SHORT-TERM
title_full UNEMPLOYMENT FORECAST IN ROMANIA ON THE SHORT-TERM
title_fullStr UNEMPLOYMENT FORECAST IN ROMANIA ON THE SHORT-TERM
title_full_unstemmed UNEMPLOYMENT FORECAST IN ROMANIA ON THE SHORT-TERM
title_short UNEMPLOYMENT FORECAST IN ROMANIA ON THE SHORT-TERM
title_sort unemployment forecast in romania on the short term
topic number of unemployed
forecasting
absolute average change
url http://www.strategiimanageriale.ro/papers/140106.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT mihaelasavu unemploymentforecastinromaniaontheshortterm
AT deliateselios unemploymentforecastinromaniaontheshortterm