Dynamical analysis of a monkeypox spread model with human to human saturated incidence rate and environmental transmission

In this paper, we study the behavior of monkeypox spread by constructing a compartmental model describing virus transmission between humans, animals, and the environment. The model incorporates vaccination on susceptible humans, quarantine on exposed humans, and hospitalization on infected humans....

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Brazil Vargas Junior Possumah, Wuryansari Muharini Kusumawinahyu, Trisilowati
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Western Libraries 2025-06-01
Series:Mathematics in Applied Sciences and Engineering
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Online Access:https://ojs.lib.uwo.ca/index.php/mase/article/view/22269
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Summary:In this paper, we study the behavior of monkeypox spread by constructing a compartmental model describing virus transmission between humans, animals, and the environment. The model incorporates vaccination on susceptible humans, quarantine on exposed humans, and hospitalization on infected humans. A saturated incidence rate is applied to obtain a more realistic model. The model's basic reproduction number ($R_0$) is obtained by applying the next generation matrix method. The analysis shows that the local stability of the equilibrium points depends on the value of $R_0$, and it is also shown that the model undergoes forward bifurcation. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis and numerical simulations were conducted to illustrate the analytical results.
ISSN:2563-1926