A Meteorological Data-Driven eLoran Signal Propagation Delay Prediction Model: BP Neural Network Modeling for Long-Distance Scenarios

The timing accuracy of eLoran systems is susceptible to meteorological fluctuations, with medium-to-long-range propagation delay variations reaching hundreds of nanoseconds to microseconds. While conventional models have been widely adopted for short-range delay prediction, they fail to accurately c...

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Main Authors: Tao Jin, Shiyao Liu, Baorong Yan, Wei Guo, Changjiang Huang, Yu Hua, Shougang Zhang, Xiaohui Li, Lu Xu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-07-01
Series:Remote Sensing
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/13/2269
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author Tao Jin
Shiyao Liu
Baorong Yan
Wei Guo
Changjiang Huang
Yu Hua
Shougang Zhang
Xiaohui Li
Lu Xu
author_facet Tao Jin
Shiyao Liu
Baorong Yan
Wei Guo
Changjiang Huang
Yu Hua
Shougang Zhang
Xiaohui Li
Lu Xu
author_sort Tao Jin
collection DOAJ
description The timing accuracy of eLoran systems is susceptible to meteorological fluctuations, with medium-to-long-range propagation delay variations reaching hundreds of nanoseconds to microseconds. While conventional models have been widely adopted for short-range delay prediction, they fail to accurately characterize the coupled effects of multiple factors in long-range scenarios. This study theoretically examines the influence mechanisms of temperature, humidity, and atmospheric pressure on signal propagation delays, proposing a hybrid prediction model integrating meteorological data with a back-propagation neural network (BPNN) through path-weighted Pearson correlation coefficient analysis. Long-term observational data from multiple differential reference stations and meteorological stations reveal that short-term delay fluctuations strongly correlate with localized instantaneous humidity variations, whereas long-term trends are governed by cumulative temperature–humidity effects in regional environments. A multi-tier neural network architecture was developed, incorporating spatial analysis of propagation distance impacts on model accuracy. Experimental results demonstrate enhanced prediction stability in long-range scenarios. The proposed model provides an innovative tool for eLoran system delay correction, while establishing an interdisciplinary framework that bridges meteorological parameters with signal propagation characteristics. This methodology offers new perspectives for reliable timing solutions in global navigation satellite system (GNSS)-denied environments and advances our understanding of meteorological–electromagnetic wave interactions.
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institution Matheson Library
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publishDate 2025-07-01
publisher MDPI AG
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series Remote Sensing
spelling doaj-art-b79e2e88e7c24be99ddf7b83cb50a3d62025-07-11T14:42:33ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922025-07-011713226910.3390/rs17132269A Meteorological Data-Driven eLoran Signal Propagation Delay Prediction Model: BP Neural Network Modeling for Long-Distance ScenariosTao Jin0Shiyao Liu1Baorong Yan2Wei Guo3Changjiang Huang4Yu Hua5Shougang Zhang6Xiaohui Li7Lu Xu8National Time Service Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710600, ChinaNational Time Service Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710600, ChinaNational Time Service Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710600, ChinaNational Time Service Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710600, ChinaNational Time Service Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710600, ChinaNational Time Service Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710600, ChinaNational Time Service Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710600, ChinaNational Time Service Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710600, ChinaSchool of Software Engineering, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, ChinaThe timing accuracy of eLoran systems is susceptible to meteorological fluctuations, with medium-to-long-range propagation delay variations reaching hundreds of nanoseconds to microseconds. While conventional models have been widely adopted for short-range delay prediction, they fail to accurately characterize the coupled effects of multiple factors in long-range scenarios. This study theoretically examines the influence mechanisms of temperature, humidity, and atmospheric pressure on signal propagation delays, proposing a hybrid prediction model integrating meteorological data with a back-propagation neural network (BPNN) through path-weighted Pearson correlation coefficient analysis. Long-term observational data from multiple differential reference stations and meteorological stations reveal that short-term delay fluctuations strongly correlate with localized instantaneous humidity variations, whereas long-term trends are governed by cumulative temperature–humidity effects in regional environments. A multi-tier neural network architecture was developed, incorporating spatial analysis of propagation distance impacts on model accuracy. Experimental results demonstrate enhanced prediction stability in long-range scenarios. The proposed model provides an innovative tool for eLoran system delay correction, while establishing an interdisciplinary framework that bridges meteorological parameters with signal propagation characteristics. This methodology offers new perspectives for reliable timing solutions in global navigation satellite system (GNSS)-denied environments and advances our understanding of meteorological–electromagnetic wave interactions.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/13/2269eLoranmeteorological datatime-delay predictionback propagation neural networklong-distance scenarios
spellingShingle Tao Jin
Shiyao Liu
Baorong Yan
Wei Guo
Changjiang Huang
Yu Hua
Shougang Zhang
Xiaohui Li
Lu Xu
A Meteorological Data-Driven eLoran Signal Propagation Delay Prediction Model: BP Neural Network Modeling for Long-Distance Scenarios
Remote Sensing
eLoran
meteorological data
time-delay prediction
back propagation neural network
long-distance scenarios
title A Meteorological Data-Driven eLoran Signal Propagation Delay Prediction Model: BP Neural Network Modeling for Long-Distance Scenarios
title_full A Meteorological Data-Driven eLoran Signal Propagation Delay Prediction Model: BP Neural Network Modeling for Long-Distance Scenarios
title_fullStr A Meteorological Data-Driven eLoran Signal Propagation Delay Prediction Model: BP Neural Network Modeling for Long-Distance Scenarios
title_full_unstemmed A Meteorological Data-Driven eLoran Signal Propagation Delay Prediction Model: BP Neural Network Modeling for Long-Distance Scenarios
title_short A Meteorological Data-Driven eLoran Signal Propagation Delay Prediction Model: BP Neural Network Modeling for Long-Distance Scenarios
title_sort meteorological data driven eloran signal propagation delay prediction model bp neural network modeling for long distance scenarios
topic eLoran
meteorological data
time-delay prediction
back propagation neural network
long-distance scenarios
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/13/2269
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