Development of an explainable machine learning model for Alzheimer’s disease prediction using clinical and behavioural features

This article presents a reproducible machine learning methodology for the early prediction of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) using clinical and behavioural data. A comparative analysis of multiple classification algorithms was conducted, with the Gradient Boosting classifier yielding the best performance...

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Main Authors: Rajkumar Govindarajan, K. Thirunadanasikamani, Komal Kumar Napa, S. Sathya, J. Senthil Murugan, K. G. Chandi Priya
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-12-01
Series:MethodsX
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221501612500336X
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author Rajkumar Govindarajan
K. Thirunadanasikamani
Komal Kumar Napa
S. Sathya
J. Senthil Murugan
K. G. Chandi Priya
author_facet Rajkumar Govindarajan
K. Thirunadanasikamani
Komal Kumar Napa
S. Sathya
J. Senthil Murugan
K. G. Chandi Priya
author_sort Rajkumar Govindarajan
collection DOAJ
description This article presents a reproducible machine learning methodology for the early prediction of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) using clinical and behavioural data. A comparative analysis of multiple classification algorithms was conducted, with the Gradient Boosting classifier yielding the best performance (accuracy: 93.9 %, F1-score: 91.8 %). To improve interpretability, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were integrated into the workflow to quantify feature contributions at both global and individual levels. Key predictive variables such as Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), Activities of Daily Living (ADL), cholesterol levels, and functional assessment scores were identified and visualized using SHAP-based insights. A user-friendly, interactive web application was developed using Streamlit, allowing real-time patient data input and transparent model output visualization. This method offers a practical tool for clinicians and researchers to support early diagnosis and personalized risk assessment of AD, thus aiding in timely and informed clinical decision-making.Accurate Prediction: Gradient Boosting model achieved 93.9 % accuracy for early Alzheimer’s detection.Explainability: SHAP values provided interpretable insights into key clinical features.Clinical Tool: A Streamlit-based web app enabled real-time, explainable predictions for users.
format Article
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issn 2215-0161
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publishDate 2025-12-01
publisher Elsevier
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series MethodsX
spelling doaj-art-b6907cb0b51c4548b9c0461e59dfe7822025-07-15T04:16:13ZengElsevierMethodsX2215-01612025-12-0115103491Development of an explainable machine learning model for Alzheimer’s disease prediction using clinical and behavioural featuresRajkumar Govindarajan0K. Thirunadanasikamani1Komal Kumar Napa2S. Sathya3J. Senthil Murugan4K. G. Chandi Priya5Department of Computer Science and Engineering, St. Peter’s Institute of Higher Education and Research, Avadi, Chennai, IndiaDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, St. Peter’s Institute of Higher Education and Research, Avadi, Chennai, IndiaDepartment of Artificial Intelligence and Data Science, Saveetha Engineering College, Chennai, India; Corresponding author.Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering, S. A. Engineering College, Chennai, IndiaDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, Vel Tech High Tech Dr. Rangarajan Dr. Sakunthala Engineering College, Chennai, IndiaDepartment of Science and Humanities (General Engineering Division), R.M.K. College of Engineering and Technology, Chennai, IndiaThis article presents a reproducible machine learning methodology for the early prediction of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) using clinical and behavioural data. A comparative analysis of multiple classification algorithms was conducted, with the Gradient Boosting classifier yielding the best performance (accuracy: 93.9 %, F1-score: 91.8 %). To improve interpretability, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were integrated into the workflow to quantify feature contributions at both global and individual levels. Key predictive variables such as Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), Activities of Daily Living (ADL), cholesterol levels, and functional assessment scores were identified and visualized using SHAP-based insights. A user-friendly, interactive web application was developed using Streamlit, allowing real-time patient data input and transparent model output visualization. This method offers a practical tool for clinicians and researchers to support early diagnosis and personalized risk assessment of AD, thus aiding in timely and informed clinical decision-making.Accurate Prediction: Gradient Boosting model achieved 93.9 % accuracy for early Alzheimer’s detection.Explainability: SHAP values provided interpretable insights into key clinical features.Clinical Tool: A Streamlit-based web app enabled real-time, explainable predictions for users.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221501612500336XAlzheimer's disease predictionExplainable artificial intelligenceSHAP valuesGradient boosting classifierStreamlit web application
spellingShingle Rajkumar Govindarajan
K. Thirunadanasikamani
Komal Kumar Napa
S. Sathya
J. Senthil Murugan
K. G. Chandi Priya
Development of an explainable machine learning model for Alzheimer’s disease prediction using clinical and behavioural features
MethodsX
Alzheimer's disease prediction
Explainable artificial intelligence
SHAP values
Gradient boosting classifier
Streamlit web application
title Development of an explainable machine learning model for Alzheimer’s disease prediction using clinical and behavioural features
title_full Development of an explainable machine learning model for Alzheimer’s disease prediction using clinical and behavioural features
title_fullStr Development of an explainable machine learning model for Alzheimer’s disease prediction using clinical and behavioural features
title_full_unstemmed Development of an explainable machine learning model for Alzheimer’s disease prediction using clinical and behavioural features
title_short Development of an explainable machine learning model for Alzheimer’s disease prediction using clinical and behavioural features
title_sort development of an explainable machine learning model for alzheimer s disease prediction using clinical and behavioural features
topic Alzheimer's disease prediction
Explainable artificial intelligence
SHAP values
Gradient boosting classifier
Streamlit web application
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221501612500336X
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