Does postoperative plasma IL-6 improve early prediction of infection after pulmonary cancer surgery? A two-centre prospective study.

Does postoperative plasma IL-6 improve early prediction of infection after pulmonary cancer surgery? A two-centre prospective study.

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<h4>Introduction</h4>Postoperative hyperinflammation increases infection risk. We hypothesized that interleukin-6 (IL-6) is an early predictor of infection after pulmonary cancer surgery.<h4>Methods</h4>A two-centre prospective cohort study, including consecutive elective pul...

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Main Authors: Ted Reniers, Peter G Noordzij, Eelco J Veen, Erik F N Hofman, Anne Marlies Taselaar, W Anton Visser, Pim van der Heiden, Stefan Boeckx, Judith M A Emmen, Ineke M Dijkstra, Olaf L Cremer, Lisette M Vernooij, Thijs C D Rettig
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0326537
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Summary:<h4>Introduction</h4>Postoperative hyperinflammation increases infection risk. We hypothesized that interleukin-6 (IL-6) is an early predictor of infection after pulmonary cancer surgery.<h4>Methods</h4>A two-centre prospective cohort study, including consecutive elective pulmonary cancer surgery patients. The primary outcome was any postoperative infection within 30 days. Multivariable logistic regression was used to create a core model (age, sex, surgery duration and Charlson comorbidity index) to which maximum IL-6, C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT) concentrations and white blood cell count (WBC) between start of anaesthesia and 24 hours were added. The predictive performance of the models was assessed.<h4>Results</h4>170 patients were analysed, of whom 38 (22%) developed a postoperative infection. IL-6 concentrations peaked 6 hours postoperatively, whereas CRP had not yet reached peak levels at 24 hours (time of prediction). Maximum IL-6 concentrations were associated with postoperative infection (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.04 per 10 pg/ml, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00-1.09, p = 0.047) as was CRP (aOR 1.01 per mg/L, 1.00-1.03, p = 0.032). WBC and PCT were not associated with postoperative infection. The c-statistic of the prediction models that included IL-6 or CRP concentrations were 0.67 (95%CI: 0.56-0.77) and 0.68 (0.57-0.77), respectively, compared to 0.67 (0.56-0.76) for the core model. IL-6 and CRP slightly improved calibration by broadening the range of predicted probabilities. Reclassification did not improve.<h4>Conclusion</h4>Plasma IL-6 and CRP levels observed within 24 hours from the start of surgery are associated with postoperative infection risk, yet the added value of these biomarkers to a simple clinical prediction model seems limited.
ISSN:1932-6203

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