A logistic regression-based model for predicting heart failure mortality

Recent trends in evaluating World Wide Web data include the use of traditional data mining techniques, such as regression, clustering, and classification. This paper aims to develop a model for predicting heart failure mortality based on a publicly available online dataset containing medical records...

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Main Authors: Krstić Marija, Krstić Lazar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Novi Sad, Technical faculty Mihajlo Pupin, Zrenjanin 2025-01-01
Series:Journal of Engineering Management and Competitiveness
Subjects:
Online Access:https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/2334-9638/2025/2334-96382501057K.pdf
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author Krstić Marija
Krstić Lazar
author_facet Krstić Marija
Krstić Lazar
author_sort Krstić Marija
collection DOAJ
description Recent trends in evaluating World Wide Web data include the use of traditional data mining techniques, such as regression, clustering, and classification. This paper aims to develop a model for predicting heart failure mortality based on a publicly available online dataset containing medical records of 299 patients. Since the prediction outcome can have only one of two possible values, the binary logistic regression technique was applied. Research shows that the predictive model created using logistic regression can accurately predict patient mortality based on their clinical characteristics and identify the most significant attributes among those included in their medical records. In addition, applying logistic regression ensures the simplicity and interoperability of the developed model, which was a major drawback of previous studies. The prediction model was created using the RapidMiner software tool. Its contribution lies in incorporating a broader range of clinical attributes, leading to a more comprehensive approach that enhances accuracy and prediction efficiency. The accuracy, precision, and sensitivity values of the developed predictive model are approximately 80%, confirming the model's high quality. The Area Under the Curve (AUC), which provides a graphical overview of the model's overall performance, is 86.7%, reflecting its effectiveness. The indicators of the developed model exhibit strong overall performance, creating the potential for its application to assist healthcare institutions in assessing the clinical status of patients with cardiovascular diseases.
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spelling doaj-art-a87dfeea896b4f85a0733c69611e4b752025-07-07T08:49:08ZengUniversity of Novi Sad, Technical faculty Mihajlo Pupin, ZrenjaninJournal of Engineering Management and Competitiveness2334-96382217-81472025-01-01151576410.5937/JEMC2501057K2334-96382501057KA logistic regression-based model for predicting heart failure mortalityKrstić Marija0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3009-8400Krstić Lazar1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9131-6876Academy of Applied Studies Southern Serbia, Department of Higher Business School Leskovac, Leskovac, SerbiaAcademy of Applied Studies Southern Serbia, Department of Higher Business School Leskovac, Leskovac, SerbiaRecent trends in evaluating World Wide Web data include the use of traditional data mining techniques, such as regression, clustering, and classification. This paper aims to develop a model for predicting heart failure mortality based on a publicly available online dataset containing medical records of 299 patients. Since the prediction outcome can have only one of two possible values, the binary logistic regression technique was applied. Research shows that the predictive model created using logistic regression can accurately predict patient mortality based on their clinical characteristics and identify the most significant attributes among those included in their medical records. In addition, applying logistic regression ensures the simplicity and interoperability of the developed model, which was a major drawback of previous studies. The prediction model was created using the RapidMiner software tool. Its contribution lies in incorporating a broader range of clinical attributes, leading to a more comprehensive approach that enhances accuracy and prediction efficiency. The accuracy, precision, and sensitivity values of the developed predictive model are approximately 80%, confirming the model's high quality. The Area Under the Curve (AUC), which provides a graphical overview of the model's overall performance, is 86.7%, reflecting its effectiveness. The indicators of the developed model exhibit strong overall performance, creating the potential for its application to assist healthcare institutions in assessing the clinical status of patients with cardiovascular diseases.https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/2334-9638/2025/2334-96382501057K.pdfpredictive modellogistic regressionheart failureclinical characteristicspatient mortality
spellingShingle Krstić Marija
Krstić Lazar
A logistic regression-based model for predicting heart failure mortality
Journal of Engineering Management and Competitiveness
predictive model
logistic regression
heart failure
clinical characteristics
patient mortality
title A logistic regression-based model for predicting heart failure mortality
title_full A logistic regression-based model for predicting heart failure mortality
title_fullStr A logistic regression-based model for predicting heart failure mortality
title_full_unstemmed A logistic regression-based model for predicting heart failure mortality
title_short A logistic regression-based model for predicting heart failure mortality
title_sort logistic regression based model for predicting heart failure mortality
topic predictive model
logistic regression
heart failure
clinical characteristics
patient mortality
url https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/2334-9638/2025/2334-96382501057K.pdf
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AT krsticlazar alogisticregressionbasedmodelforpredictingheartfailuremortality
AT krsticmarija logisticregressionbasedmodelforpredictingheartfailuremortality
AT krsticlazar logisticregressionbasedmodelforpredictingheartfailuremortality