Ecological risks linked with ecosystem services in the upper reach of the Yellow River under global changes
There is growing interest in introducing ecological risks (ERs) and ecosystem services (ESs) into environmental policies and practices. However, the integration of ESs and ERs into actual decision-making remains insufficient. We simulated the spatiotemporal dynamics of ESs (e.g., carbon storage, wat...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
2025-03-01
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| Series: | Journal of Integrative Agriculture |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311924003368 |
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| author | Ruowei Li Jian Sun Guodong Han Zixuan Qi Yunhui Li Junhe Chen Wen He Mengqi Zhang Chaowei Han Jieji Duo |
| author_facet | Ruowei Li Jian Sun Guodong Han Zixuan Qi Yunhui Li Junhe Chen Wen He Mengqi Zhang Chaowei Han Jieji Duo |
| author_sort | Ruowei Li |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | There is growing interest in introducing ecological risks (ERs) and ecosystem services (ESs) into environmental policies and practices. However, the integration of ESs and ERs into actual decision-making remains insufficient. We simulated the spatiotemporal dynamics of ESs (e.g., carbon storage, water yield, habitat quality, and soil conservation) and ERs in the upper reach of the Yellow River (URYR) from 2000 to 2100. Additionally, we explored their relationships by combining the InVEST model and a landscape ecological risk model with CMIP6 data. Our main findings showed that regional ERs change in response to land use and environmental dynamics. Specifically, the ER area decreased by 27,673 m2 during 2000–2020, but it is projected to increase by 13,273, 438, and 68 m2 under the SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. We also observed remarkable spatial differences in ESs and ERs between past and future scenarios. For instance, the source area of the URYR exhibited high ESs and low ERs (P<0.001), while the ESs and ERs are declining and increasing, respectively, in the northeastern URYR (P<0.05). Finally, we proposed a spatial optimization framework to improve ESs and reduce ERs, which will support regional sustainable development. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-a657f9866d744e43a42a1b8c0c43ea0a |
| institution | Matheson Library |
| issn | 2095-3119 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-03-01 |
| publisher | KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Integrative Agriculture |
| spelling | doaj-art-a657f9866d744e43a42a1b8c0c43ea0a2025-08-02T15:56:34ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Journal of Integrative Agriculture2095-31192025-03-01243966983Ecological risks linked with ecosystem services in the upper reach of the Yellow River under global changesRuowei Li0Jian Sun1Guodong Han2Zixuan Qi3Yunhui Li4Junhe Chen5Wen He6Mengqi Zhang7Chaowei Han8Jieji Duo9State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System Science (LATPES), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; Key Laboratory of Grassland Resources of the Ministry of Education, College of Grassland, Resources and Environment, Inner Mongolia Agricultural University, Hohhot 010019, China; Correspondence Ruowei Li, Mobile: +86-18747794658State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System Science (LATPES), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; Key Laboratory of Grassland Resources of the Ministry of Education, College of Grassland, Resources and Environment, Inner Mongolia Agricultural University, Hohhot 010019, China; Correspondence Jian Sun, Mobile: +86-18301068172Key Laboratory of Grassland Resources of the Ministry of Education, College of Grassland, Resources and Environment, Inner Mongolia Agricultural University, Hohhot 010019, China; Correspondence Guodong Han, Mobile: +86-13087122590Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Quality Improvement and Ecological Restoration for Watersheds, School of Ecology, Environment and Resources, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System Science (LATPES), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System Science (LATPES), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, ChinaInstitute for Disaster Management and Reconstruction, Sichuan University–The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Chengdu 610207, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System Science (LATPES), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, ChinaInstitute of Grassland Research, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Hohhot 010010, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System Science (LATPES), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; Haixi Forest Pest Control and Quarantine Center, Delingha 817099, ChinaThere is growing interest in introducing ecological risks (ERs) and ecosystem services (ESs) into environmental policies and practices. However, the integration of ESs and ERs into actual decision-making remains insufficient. We simulated the spatiotemporal dynamics of ESs (e.g., carbon storage, water yield, habitat quality, and soil conservation) and ERs in the upper reach of the Yellow River (URYR) from 2000 to 2100. Additionally, we explored their relationships by combining the InVEST model and a landscape ecological risk model with CMIP6 data. Our main findings showed that regional ERs change in response to land use and environmental dynamics. Specifically, the ER area decreased by 27,673 m2 during 2000–2020, but it is projected to increase by 13,273, 438, and 68 m2 under the SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. We also observed remarkable spatial differences in ESs and ERs between past and future scenarios. For instance, the source area of the URYR exhibited high ESs and low ERs (P<0.001), while the ESs and ERs are declining and increasing, respectively, in the northeastern URYR (P<0.05). Finally, we proposed a spatial optimization framework to improve ESs and reduce ERs, which will support regional sustainable development.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311924003368climate changeCMIP6Yellow River basinTibetan Plateauadaptive managementsustainable development |
| spellingShingle | Ruowei Li Jian Sun Guodong Han Zixuan Qi Yunhui Li Junhe Chen Wen He Mengqi Zhang Chaowei Han Jieji Duo Ecological risks linked with ecosystem services in the upper reach of the Yellow River under global changes Journal of Integrative Agriculture climate change CMIP6 Yellow River basin Tibetan Plateau adaptive management sustainable development |
| title | Ecological risks linked with ecosystem services in the upper reach of the Yellow River under global changes |
| title_full | Ecological risks linked with ecosystem services in the upper reach of the Yellow River under global changes |
| title_fullStr | Ecological risks linked with ecosystem services in the upper reach of the Yellow River under global changes |
| title_full_unstemmed | Ecological risks linked with ecosystem services in the upper reach of the Yellow River under global changes |
| title_short | Ecological risks linked with ecosystem services in the upper reach of the Yellow River under global changes |
| title_sort | ecological risks linked with ecosystem services in the upper reach of the yellow river under global changes |
| topic | climate change CMIP6 Yellow River basin Tibetan Plateau adaptive management sustainable development |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311924003368 |
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