AI and ML patent intensity and firm performance: A machine learning-based lagged analysis

This study investigates the long-term impact of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) patent intensity on firms’ performance, focusing on innovation-driven competitive advantage. Using a panel of 20 technology-intensive firms from 2013 to 2023, this study employs eXtreme gradient bo...

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Main Authors: Melih Sefa Yavuz, Hilal Çalik
Format: Article
Language:Spanish
Published: Elsevier 2025-09-01
Series:European Research on Management and Business Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2444883425000233
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author Melih Sefa Yavuz
Hilal Çalik
author_facet Melih Sefa Yavuz
Hilal Çalik
author_sort Melih Sefa Yavuz
collection DOAJ
description This study investigates the long-term impact of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) patent intensity on firms’ performance, focusing on innovation-driven competitive advantage. Using a panel of 20 technology-intensive firms from 2013 to 2023, this study employs eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and random forest algorithms to capture nonlinear relationships between AI and ML patent intensity and key financial indicators, including return on assets (ROA), operating margin, and net profit margin. The results indicate that AI and ML patents significantly enhance ROA and operating margins, particularly with a five-year lag, highlighting the delayed but positive influence of such innovations. However, the effect on net profit margin remains limited. These findings underscore the strategic value of AI and ML innovation in driving sustainable firm performance while also emphasizing the importance of long-term planning and complementary investments for maximizing financial returns.
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publishDate 2025-09-01
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series European Research on Management and Business Economics
spelling doaj-art-a4bad0f0acd44975bd0dbaa24fe2d38b2025-08-02T04:47:19ZspaElsevierEuropean Research on Management and Business Economics2444-88342025-09-01313100291AI and ML patent intensity and firm performance: A machine learning-based lagged analysisMelih Sefa Yavuz0Hilal Çalik1Department of Banking and Finance, Istanbul Beykent University, Cihangir District, S..raselviler St. No:65, Istanbul, Beyoglu, Turkey; Corresponding author.Department of International Trade and Finance, Istanbul Beykent University, Cumhuriyet District, Beykent, Istanbul, Büyükcekmece, TurkeyThis study investigates the long-term impact of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) patent intensity on firms’ performance, focusing on innovation-driven competitive advantage. Using a panel of 20 technology-intensive firms from 2013 to 2023, this study employs eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and random forest algorithms to capture nonlinear relationships between AI and ML patent intensity and key financial indicators, including return on assets (ROA), operating margin, and net profit margin. The results indicate that AI and ML patents significantly enhance ROA and operating margins, particularly with a five-year lag, highlighting the delayed but positive influence of such innovations. However, the effect on net profit margin remains limited. These findings underscore the strategic value of AI and ML innovation in driving sustainable firm performance while also emphasizing the importance of long-term planning and complementary investments for maximizing financial returns.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2444883425000233O33O34L25M21
spellingShingle Melih Sefa Yavuz
Hilal Çalik
AI and ML patent intensity and firm performance: A machine learning-based lagged analysis
European Research on Management and Business Economics
O33
O34
L25
M21
title AI and ML patent intensity and firm performance: A machine learning-based lagged analysis
title_full AI and ML patent intensity and firm performance: A machine learning-based lagged analysis
title_fullStr AI and ML patent intensity and firm performance: A machine learning-based lagged analysis
title_full_unstemmed AI and ML patent intensity and firm performance: A machine learning-based lagged analysis
title_short AI and ML patent intensity and firm performance: A machine learning-based lagged analysis
title_sort ai and ml patent intensity and firm performance a machine learning based lagged analysis
topic O33
O34
L25
M21
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2444883425000233
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AT hilalcalik aiandmlpatentintensityandfirmperformanceamachinelearningbasedlaggedanalysis