Evaluation of the Possibility of Calculating LD50 and LD10 Using a Modified Script in the R Environment

INTRODUCTION. The median lethal dose (LD50) and the low lethal dose (LD10) are critical parameters for the safety of medicinal products. Sometimes, the pharmacopoeial probit method (PM) fails to calculate the LD10 value, and the calculation result is obviously lower than the true value. In such case...

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Main Author: P. V. Shadrin
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Federal State Budgetary Institution ‘Scientific Centre for Expert Evaluation of Medicinal Products’ of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation (FSBI ‘SCEEMP’) 2025-05-01
Series:Регуляторные исследования и экспертиза лекарственных средств
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Online Access:https://www.vedomostincesmp.ru/jour/article/view/745
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author P. V. Shadrin
author_facet P. V. Shadrin
author_sort P. V. Shadrin
collection DOAJ
description INTRODUCTION. The median lethal dose (LD50) and the low lethal dose (LD10) are critical parameters for the safety of medicinal products. Sometimes, the pharmacopoeial probit method (PM) fails to calculate the LD10 value, and the calculation result is obviously lower than the true value. In such cases, the use of other computational techniques is warranted.AIM. This study aimed to evaluate the potential of a script in the R environment as a tool for calculating the LD50 and LD10 of medicines.MATERIALS AND METHODS. This study compared the results of determining LD50 and LD10 using the spreadsheet-based pharmacopoeial PM and a modified script in the R environment (MS). The lm() function (linear regression model) was used to establish the relationships between the LD50 and LD10 values obtained using the PM and those calculated using the MS.RESULTS. A script originally developed by S. Young for LD50 calculation was modified and supplemented to simplify its use. The modification reduced the amount of input data required for calculation, added the ability to calculate LD10 values, and improved the visual clarity of the calculation results. Reducing the step size for the seq() function was shown to improve the output smoothness when the MS yielded a jagged mortality curve. The MS-derived LD50 values were within the confidence limits for the values obtained using the PM (P=0.95). The regression analysis confirmed the accuracy of the MS-based LD50 and LD10 calculations, which was demonstrated by a statistically insignificant systematic error, a significant dose dependence at P=0.999, and a high coefficient of determination (R2). If the PM underestimates LD10 values, the analyst should be guided by the LD50 and LD10 values calculated using the MS.CONCLUSIONS. The experimental data demonstrate the applicability of the MS for testing medicines. In some cases presented in the article, the custom R script offers an advantage over the current pharmacopoeial method. A tentative direction for further work may be the automation of the MS-based LD10 calculation.
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language Russian
publishDate 2025-05-01
publisher Federal State Budgetary Institution ‘Scientific Centre for Expert Evaluation of Medicinal Products’ of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation (FSBI ‘SCEEMP’)
record_format Article
series Регуляторные исследования и экспертиза лекарственных средств
spelling doaj-art-a15df1c9a02f4b1db8eeec7b48c600652025-08-03T19:56:45ZrusFederal State Budgetary Institution ‘Scientific Centre for Expert Evaluation of Medicinal Products’ of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation (FSBI ‘SCEEMP’)Регуляторные исследования и экспертиза лекарственных средств3034-30623034-34532025-05-0115221322110.30895/1991-2919-2025-15-2-213-221512Evaluation of the Possibility of Calculating LD50 and LD10 Using a Modified Script in the R EnvironmentP. V. Shadrin0Scientific Centre for Expert Evaluation of Medicinal ProductsINTRODUCTION. The median lethal dose (LD50) and the low lethal dose (LD10) are critical parameters for the safety of medicinal products. Sometimes, the pharmacopoeial probit method (PM) fails to calculate the LD10 value, and the calculation result is obviously lower than the true value. In such cases, the use of other computational techniques is warranted.AIM. This study aimed to evaluate the potential of a script in the R environment as a tool for calculating the LD50 and LD10 of medicines.MATERIALS AND METHODS. This study compared the results of determining LD50 and LD10 using the spreadsheet-based pharmacopoeial PM and a modified script in the R environment (MS). The lm() function (linear regression model) was used to establish the relationships between the LD50 and LD10 values obtained using the PM and those calculated using the MS.RESULTS. A script originally developed by S. Young for LD50 calculation was modified and supplemented to simplify its use. The modification reduced the amount of input data required for calculation, added the ability to calculate LD10 values, and improved the visual clarity of the calculation results. Reducing the step size for the seq() function was shown to improve the output smoothness when the MS yielded a jagged mortality curve. The MS-derived LD50 values were within the confidence limits for the values obtained using the PM (P=0.95). The regression analysis confirmed the accuracy of the MS-based LD50 and LD10 calculations, which was demonstrated by a statistically insignificant systematic error, a significant dose dependence at P=0.999, and a high coefficient of determination (R2). If the PM underestimates LD10 values, the analyst should be guided by the LD50 and LD10 values calculated using the MS.CONCLUSIONS. The experimental data demonstrate the applicability of the MS for testing medicines. In some cases presented in the article, the custom R script offers an advantage over the current pharmacopoeial method. A tentative direction for further work may be the automation of the MS-based LD10 calculation.https://www.vedomostincesmp.ru/jour/article/view/745median lethal doseld<sub>50</sub>low lethal doseld<sub>10</sub>probit methodmaximum likelihood estimationakaike information criterionr environmentscript
spellingShingle P. V. Shadrin
Evaluation of the Possibility of Calculating LD50 and LD10 Using a Modified Script in the R Environment
Регуляторные исследования и экспертиза лекарственных средств
median lethal dose
ld<sub>50</sub>
low lethal dose
ld<sub>10</sub>
probit method
maximum likelihood estimation
akaike information criterion
r environment
script
title Evaluation of the Possibility of Calculating LD50 and LD10 Using a Modified Script in the R Environment
title_full Evaluation of the Possibility of Calculating LD50 and LD10 Using a Modified Script in the R Environment
title_fullStr Evaluation of the Possibility of Calculating LD50 and LD10 Using a Modified Script in the R Environment
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of the Possibility of Calculating LD50 and LD10 Using a Modified Script in the R Environment
title_short Evaluation of the Possibility of Calculating LD50 and LD10 Using a Modified Script in the R Environment
title_sort evaluation of the possibility of calculating ld50 and ld10 using a modified script in the r environment
topic median lethal dose
ld<sub>50</sub>
low lethal dose
ld<sub>10</sub>
probit method
maximum likelihood estimation
akaike information criterion
r environment
script
url https://www.vedomostincesmp.ru/jour/article/view/745
work_keys_str_mv AT pvshadrin evaluationofthepossibilityofcalculatingld50andld10usingamodifiedscriptintherenvironment