A Methodological Proposal for Determining Environmental Risk Within Territorial Transformation Processes

In recent decades, the intensification of extreme events, such as floods, earthquakes, and hydrogeological instability, together with the spread of pollutants harmful to health, has highlighted the vulnerability of territories and the need to direct urban policies towards sustainable strategies. The...

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Main Authors: Marco Locurcio, Felicia Di Liddo, Pierluigi Morano, Francesco Tajani, Laura Tatulli
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-06-01
Series:Real Estate
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2813-8090/2/2/5
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author Marco Locurcio
Felicia Di Liddo
Pierluigi Morano
Francesco Tajani
Laura Tatulli
author_facet Marco Locurcio
Felicia Di Liddo
Pierluigi Morano
Francesco Tajani
Laura Tatulli
author_sort Marco Locurcio
collection DOAJ
description In recent decades, the intensification of extreme events, such as floods, earthquakes, and hydrogeological instability, together with the spread of pollutants harmful to health, has highlighted the vulnerability of territories and the need to direct urban policies towards sustainable strategies. The built assets and the real estate sector play a key role in this context; indeed, being among the first ones to be exposed to the effects of climate change, they serve as a crucial tool for the implementation of governance strategies that are more focused on environmental issues. However, the insufficient allocation of public resources to interventions to secure the territory has made it essential to involve private capital interested in combining the legitimate needs of performance with the “ethicality” of the investment. In light of the outlined framework, real estate managers are called upon to take into consideration the environmental risks associated with real estate investments and accurately represent them to investors, especially in the fundraising phase. The tools currently used for the analysis of such risks are based on their perception measured by the “risk premium” criterion, reconstructed on the basis of previous trends and the analyst’s expertise. The poor ability to justify the nature of the risk premium and the uncertainty about future scenario evolutions make this approach increasingly less valid. The present work, starting from the aspects of randomness of the risk premium criterion, aims at its evolution through the inclusion of environmental risk components (seismic, hydrogeological, and pollution).
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spelling doaj-art-98d97b69b6234c04b61d1aa2c6f9bc7d2025-06-25T14:22:24ZengMDPI AGReal Estate2813-80902025-06-0122510.3390/realestate2020005A Methodological Proposal for Determining Environmental Risk Within Territorial Transformation ProcessesMarco Locurcio0Felicia Di Liddo1Pierluigi Morano2Francesco Tajani3Laura Tatulli4Department of Civil, Environmental, Land, Construction and Chemistry Engineering, Polytechnic University of Bari, Via Orabona 4, 70125 Bari, ItalyDepartment of Civil, Environmental, Land, Construction and Chemistry Engineering, Polytechnic University of Bari, Via Orabona 4, 70125 Bari, ItalyDepartment of Civil, Environmental, Land, Construction and Chemistry Engineering, Polytechnic University of Bari, Via Orabona 4, 70125 Bari, ItalyDepartment of Architecture and Design, Sapienza University of Rome, Via Flaminia 359, 00196 Rome, ItalyDepartment of Civil, Environmental, Land, Construction and Chemistry Engineering, Polytechnic University of Bari, Via Orabona 4, 70125 Bari, ItalyIn recent decades, the intensification of extreme events, such as floods, earthquakes, and hydrogeological instability, together with the spread of pollutants harmful to health, has highlighted the vulnerability of territories and the need to direct urban policies towards sustainable strategies. The built assets and the real estate sector play a key role in this context; indeed, being among the first ones to be exposed to the effects of climate change, they serve as a crucial tool for the implementation of governance strategies that are more focused on environmental issues. However, the insufficient allocation of public resources to interventions to secure the territory has made it essential to involve private capital interested in combining the legitimate needs of performance with the “ethicality” of the investment. In light of the outlined framework, real estate managers are called upon to take into consideration the environmental risks associated with real estate investments and accurately represent them to investors, especially in the fundraising phase. The tools currently used for the analysis of such risks are based on their perception measured by the “risk premium” criterion, reconstructed on the basis of previous trends and the analyst’s expertise. The poor ability to justify the nature of the risk premium and the uncertainty about future scenario evolutions make this approach increasingly less valid. The present work, starting from the aspects of randomness of the risk premium criterion, aims at its evolution through the inclusion of environmental risk components (seismic, hydrogeological, and pollution).https://www.mdpi.com/2813-8090/2/2/5riskreal estateenvironmentenvironmental riskseismic riskhydrogeological risk
spellingShingle Marco Locurcio
Felicia Di Liddo
Pierluigi Morano
Francesco Tajani
Laura Tatulli
A Methodological Proposal for Determining Environmental Risk Within Territorial Transformation Processes
Real Estate
risk
real estate
environment
environmental risk
seismic risk
hydrogeological risk
title A Methodological Proposal for Determining Environmental Risk Within Territorial Transformation Processes
title_full A Methodological Proposal for Determining Environmental Risk Within Territorial Transformation Processes
title_fullStr A Methodological Proposal for Determining Environmental Risk Within Territorial Transformation Processes
title_full_unstemmed A Methodological Proposal for Determining Environmental Risk Within Territorial Transformation Processes
title_short A Methodological Proposal for Determining Environmental Risk Within Territorial Transformation Processes
title_sort methodological proposal for determining environmental risk within territorial transformation processes
topic risk
real estate
environment
environmental risk
seismic risk
hydrogeological risk
url https://www.mdpi.com/2813-8090/2/2/5
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