A Review on Risk and Reliability Analysis in Photovoltaic Power Generation

Precise evaluation of risk and reliability is crucial for decision making and predicting the outcome of investment in a photovoltaic power system (PVPS) due to its intermittent source. This paper explores different methodologies for risk evaluation and reliability assessment, which can be categorize...

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Main Authors: Ahmad Zaki Abdul Karim, Mohamad Shaiful Osman, Mohd. Khairil Rahmat
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-07-01
Series:Energies
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/14/3790
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author Ahmad Zaki Abdul Karim
Mohamad Shaiful Osman
Mohd. Khairil Rahmat
author_facet Ahmad Zaki Abdul Karim
Mohamad Shaiful Osman
Mohd. Khairil Rahmat
author_sort Ahmad Zaki Abdul Karim
collection DOAJ
description Precise evaluation of risk and reliability is crucial for decision making and predicting the outcome of investment in a photovoltaic power system (PVPS) due to its intermittent source. This paper explores different methodologies for risk evaluation and reliability assessment, which can be categorized into qualitative, quantitative, and hybrid qualitative and quantitative (HQQ) approaches. Qualitative methods include failure mode analysis, graphical analysis, and hazard analysis, while quantitative methods include analytical methods, stochastic methods, Bayes’ theorem, reliability optimization, multi-criteria analysis, and data utilization. HQQ methodology combines table-based and visual analysis methods. Currently, reliability assessment techniques such as mean time between failures (MTBF), system average interruption frequency index (SAIFI), and system average interruption duration index (SAIDI) are commonly used to predict PVPS performance. However, alternative methods such as economical metrics like the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) and net present value (NPV) can also be used. Therefore, a risk and reliability approach should be applied together to improve the accuracy of predicting significant aspects in the photovoltaic industry.
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spelling doaj-art-94e8ed4f7c5a4e5793d69bbf69a2b7f32025-07-25T13:21:35ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732025-07-011814379010.3390/en18143790A Review on Risk and Reliability Analysis in Photovoltaic Power GenerationAhmad Zaki Abdul Karim0Mohamad Shaiful Osman1Mohd. Khairil Rahmat2Energy Research Laboratory (RENERAL), British Malaysian Institute, Universiti Kuala Lumpur, Gombak 53100, Selangor, MalaysiaEnergy Research Laboratory (RENERAL), British Malaysian Institute, Universiti Kuala Lumpur, Gombak 53100, Selangor, MalaysiaEnergy Research Laboratory (RENERAL), British Malaysian Institute, Universiti Kuala Lumpur, Gombak 53100, Selangor, MalaysiaPrecise evaluation of risk and reliability is crucial for decision making and predicting the outcome of investment in a photovoltaic power system (PVPS) due to its intermittent source. This paper explores different methodologies for risk evaluation and reliability assessment, which can be categorized into qualitative, quantitative, and hybrid qualitative and quantitative (HQQ) approaches. Qualitative methods include failure mode analysis, graphical analysis, and hazard analysis, while quantitative methods include analytical methods, stochastic methods, Bayes’ theorem, reliability optimization, multi-criteria analysis, and data utilization. HQQ methodology combines table-based and visual analysis methods. Currently, reliability assessment techniques such as mean time between failures (MTBF), system average interruption frequency index (SAIFI), and system average interruption duration index (SAIDI) are commonly used to predict PVPS performance. However, alternative methods such as economical metrics like the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) and net present value (NPV) can also be used. Therefore, a risk and reliability approach should be applied together to improve the accuracy of predicting significant aspects in the photovoltaic industry.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/14/3790energy managementsustainable energyphotovoltaicreliabilityrisk analysis
spellingShingle Ahmad Zaki Abdul Karim
Mohamad Shaiful Osman
Mohd. Khairil Rahmat
A Review on Risk and Reliability Analysis in Photovoltaic Power Generation
Energies
energy management
sustainable energy
photovoltaic
reliability
risk analysis
title A Review on Risk and Reliability Analysis in Photovoltaic Power Generation
title_full A Review on Risk and Reliability Analysis in Photovoltaic Power Generation
title_fullStr A Review on Risk and Reliability Analysis in Photovoltaic Power Generation
title_full_unstemmed A Review on Risk and Reliability Analysis in Photovoltaic Power Generation
title_short A Review on Risk and Reliability Analysis in Photovoltaic Power Generation
title_sort review on risk and reliability analysis in photovoltaic power generation
topic energy management
sustainable energy
photovoltaic
reliability
risk analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/14/3790
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