Economic Efficiency of Renewable Energy Investments in Photovoltaic Projects: A Regression Analysis

Energy Performance Contracts (EPC) are performance-based financing mechanisms designed to improve energy efficiency and support renewable energy adoption in the public sector. This study examines the economic efficiency of a <b>1710.72 kWp solar power plant (SPP), implemented under an EPC at A...

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Main Authors: Adem Akbulut, Marcin Niemiec, Kubilay Taşdelen, Leyla Akbulut, Monika Komorowska, Atılgan Atılgan, Ahmet Coşgun, Małgorzata Okręglicka, Kamil Wiktor, Oksana Povstyn, Maria Urbaniec
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-07-01
Series:Energies
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/14/3869
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Summary:Energy Performance Contracts (EPC) are performance-based financing mechanisms designed to improve energy efficiency and support renewable energy adoption in the public sector. This study examines the economic efficiency of a <b>1710.72 kWp solar power plant (SPP), implemented under an EPC at Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, using a regression-based analysis.</b> The model evaluates the effects of solar radiation, investment cost, and electricity sales price on unit production cost, and its predictions were compared with actual production data. <b>Results show the system exceeded the EPC contract target by 16.2%, producing 2,423,472.28 kWh in its first year and preventing 1168.64 tons of CO<sub>2</sub> emissions. The developed multiple linear regression model achieved a predictive error margin of 14.7%, confirming its validity.</b> This study highlights the technical, economic, and environmental benefits of EPC applications in Türkiye’s public institutions and offers a practical decision-support framework for policymakers. The novelty lies in integrating a regression model with operational data and providing a comparative assessment of planned, predicted, and actual outcomes.
ISSN:1996-1073