Analyzing Differences in Viral Dynamics Between Vaccinated and Unvaccinated RSV Patients

<b>Background:</b> Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a common respiratory virus that can cause serious illness in infants and the elderly. Vaccines for RSV have recently been introduced and have been shown to reduce the severity of the disease. However, there has been limited examinat...

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Main Authors: Arjan Suri, Sahaj Satani, Hana M. Dobrovolny
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-04-01
Series:Epidemiologia
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2673-3986/6/2/16
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author Arjan Suri
Sahaj Satani
Hana M. Dobrovolny
author_facet Arjan Suri
Sahaj Satani
Hana M. Dobrovolny
author_sort Arjan Suri
collection DOAJ
description <b>Background:</b> Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a common respiratory virus that can cause serious illness in infants and the elderly. Vaccines for RSV have recently been introduced and have been shown to reduce the severity of the disease. However, there has been limited examination of how viral dynamics differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals. <b>Methods:</b> Here, we use data from the MVA-BN-RSV Phase II vaccine study to quantify the dynamical differences between vaccinated and unvaccinated patients challenged with RSV. We use an ordinary differential equation model of within host viral dynamics to fit viral load data. <b>Results:</b> We find statistically significant differences in viral clearance rate and basic reproduction number. We also find that vaccinated patients experience a higher response variance than the placebo group. <b>Conclusions:</b> While the differences in viral clearance and basic reproduction number are promising, the high variability in response to the vaccine could leave many vaccinated patients without adequate protection.
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spelling doaj-art-6fc5d97d0d3f4b4f80e153a54a2c68f42025-06-25T13:48:46ZengMDPI AGEpidemiologia2673-39862025-04-01621610.3390/epidemiologia6020016Analyzing Differences in Viral Dynamics Between Vaccinated and Unvaccinated RSV PatientsArjan Suri0Sahaj Satani1Hana M. Dobrovolny2Department of Physics & Astronomy, Texas Christian University, Fort Worth, TX 76129, USADepartment of Physics & Astronomy, Texas Christian University, Fort Worth, TX 76129, USADepartment of Physics & Astronomy, Texas Christian University, Fort Worth, TX 76129, USA<b>Background:</b> Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a common respiratory virus that can cause serious illness in infants and the elderly. Vaccines for RSV have recently been introduced and have been shown to reduce the severity of the disease. However, there has been limited examination of how viral dynamics differ between vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals. <b>Methods:</b> Here, we use data from the MVA-BN-RSV Phase II vaccine study to quantify the dynamical differences between vaccinated and unvaccinated patients challenged with RSV. We use an ordinary differential equation model of within host viral dynamics to fit viral load data. <b>Results:</b> We find statistically significant differences in viral clearance rate and basic reproduction number. We also find that vaccinated patients experience a higher response variance than the placebo group. <b>Conclusions:</b> While the differences in viral clearance and basic reproduction number are promising, the high variability in response to the vaccine could leave many vaccinated patients without adequate protection.https://www.mdpi.com/2673-3986/6/2/16respiratory syncytial virusvaccineviral clearancemathematical model
spellingShingle Arjan Suri
Sahaj Satani
Hana M. Dobrovolny
Analyzing Differences in Viral Dynamics Between Vaccinated and Unvaccinated RSV Patients
Epidemiologia
respiratory syncytial virus
vaccine
viral clearance
mathematical model
title Analyzing Differences in Viral Dynamics Between Vaccinated and Unvaccinated RSV Patients
title_full Analyzing Differences in Viral Dynamics Between Vaccinated and Unvaccinated RSV Patients
title_fullStr Analyzing Differences in Viral Dynamics Between Vaccinated and Unvaccinated RSV Patients
title_full_unstemmed Analyzing Differences in Viral Dynamics Between Vaccinated and Unvaccinated RSV Patients
title_short Analyzing Differences in Viral Dynamics Between Vaccinated and Unvaccinated RSV Patients
title_sort analyzing differences in viral dynamics between vaccinated and unvaccinated rsv patients
topic respiratory syncytial virus
vaccine
viral clearance
mathematical model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2673-3986/6/2/16
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AT hanamdobrovolny analyzingdifferencesinviraldynamicsbetweenvaccinatedandunvaccinatedrsvpatients