Time trend of measles burden on children and adolescents in BRICS-plus countries from 1990 to 2021 and prediction to 2032

Time trend of measles burden on children and adolescents in BRICS-plus countries from 1990 to 2021 and prediction to 2032

BackgroundMeasles remains a major disease burden on children and adolescents in BRICS-plus countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and five others) despite vaccine efficacy. This study aims to clarify the temporal trend of measles burden and forecast the trend in 2032.MethodsData from...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hongxia Yuan, Bingju Yan, Yiran Chong, Le Wang, Yong Jiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Microbiology
Subjects:
measles
BRICS-plus
joinpoint
age-period-cohort model
Bayesian age-period-cohort
ARIMA
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmicb.2025.1612124/full
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