Forecasting birth trends in Ethiopia using time-series and machine-learning models: a secondary data analysis of EDHS surveys (2000–2019)

Objective Ethiopia, the second most populous country in Africa, faces significant demographic transitions, with fertility rates playing a central role in shaping economic and healthcare policies. Family planning programmes face challenges due to funding limitations. The recent suspension of the US A...

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Main Authors: Daniel Adane, Assefa Andargie Kassa, Berhanu Abebaw Mekonnen, Rahel Mulatie Anteneh, Chalachew Yenew, Meron Asmamaw Alemayehu, Tilahun Degu Tsega, Sintayehu Simie Tsega, Almaw Genet Yeshiwas, Abathun Temesegen, Habitamu Mekonen, Amare Genetu Ejigu, Abraham Teym, Gashaw Melkie Bayeh, Getaneh Atikilit, Tesfaneh Shimels, Wolde Melese Ayele, Ahmed Fentaw Ahmed, Birhanemaskal Malkamu, Wondimnew Desalegn Addis, Getasew Yirdaw, Chalachew Abiyu Ayalew, Kalaab Esubalew, Zeamanuel Anteneh Yigzaw
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2025-07-01
Series:BMJ Open
Online Access:https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/15/7/e101006.full
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