An in-depth analysis of residential E-cooling demand in The Netherlands

The magnitude and effect of residential E-cooling demand on the Dutch energy market have not been studied in the literature. However, due to rising temperatures and the increase in the adoption of heat pumps, the effects of residential e-cooling demand are expected to rise sharply in the upcoming de...

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Main Authors: Jim de Wind, Joel Alpízar-Castillo, Julian Visser, Laura Ramírez-Elizondo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-09-01
Series:Case Studies in Thermal Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214157X25007294
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author Jim de Wind
Joel Alpízar-Castillo
Julian Visser
Laura Ramírez-Elizondo
author_facet Jim de Wind
Joel Alpízar-Castillo
Julian Visser
Laura Ramírez-Elizondo
author_sort Jim de Wind
collection DOAJ
description The magnitude and effect of residential E-cooling demand on the Dutch energy market have not been studied in the literature. However, due to rising temperatures and the increase in the adoption of heat pumps, the effects of residential e-cooling demand are expected to rise sharply in the upcoming decades. First, a thermodynamic model of different Dutch residential buildings described the magnitude and patterns of residential E-cooling. Second, the effects of E-cooling on the distribution network were tested using the IEEE 906-bus European LV network. Third, a country-wide simulation of the effect of residential E-cooling on the energy market was done in Plexos© from 2025 to 2050. The results showed a doubling of the cooling demand between 2025 and 2030 and a maximum annual cooling demand of approximately 0.4 TWh. In addition, it was shown how the demand for residential cooling could decrease local power quality when more than 40 % of households actively cool their houses simultaneously, increasing network costs. Finally, it was also proven how power prices could increase due to higher demand and how revenue for specific generation components could double or decrease by 20% during heat waves when accounting for residential E-cooling demand.
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series Case Studies in Thermal Engineering
spelling doaj-art-5f80a8aa90f446e6a2abd3ad76a039c02025-06-25T04:51:12ZengElsevierCase Studies in Thermal Engineering2214-157X2025-09-0173106469An in-depth analysis of residential E-cooling demand in The NetherlandsJim de Wind0Joel Alpízar-Castillo1Julian Visser2Laura Ramírez-Elizondo3DC Systems, Energy Conversion and Storage Group, Delft University of Technology, Mekelweg 6, Delft, 2628 CD, Zuid Holland, The Netherlands; Eneco, P.O. 8202, Rotterdam, 3009AE, Zuid Holland, The NetherlandsDC Systems, Energy Conversion and Storage Group, Delft University of Technology, Mekelweg 6, Delft, 2628 CD, Zuid Holland, The Netherlands; Corresponding author.Eneco, P.O. 8202, Rotterdam, 3009AE, Zuid Holland, The NetherlandsDC Systems, Energy Conversion and Storage Group, Delft University of Technology, Mekelweg 6, Delft, 2628 CD, Zuid Holland, The NetherlandsThe magnitude and effect of residential E-cooling demand on the Dutch energy market have not been studied in the literature. However, due to rising temperatures and the increase in the adoption of heat pumps, the effects of residential e-cooling demand are expected to rise sharply in the upcoming decades. First, a thermodynamic model of different Dutch residential buildings described the magnitude and patterns of residential E-cooling. Second, the effects of E-cooling on the distribution network were tested using the IEEE 906-bus European LV network. Third, a country-wide simulation of the effect of residential E-cooling on the energy market was done in Plexos© from 2025 to 2050. The results showed a doubling of the cooling demand between 2025 and 2030 and a maximum annual cooling demand of approximately 0.4 TWh. In addition, it was shown how the demand for residential cooling could decrease local power quality when more than 40 % of households actively cool their houses simultaneously, increasing network costs. Finally, it was also proven how power prices could increase due to higher demand and how revenue for specific generation components could double or decrease by 20% during heat waves when accounting for residential E-cooling demand.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214157X25007294Electric coolingHeat pumpEnergy market
spellingShingle Jim de Wind
Joel Alpízar-Castillo
Julian Visser
Laura Ramírez-Elizondo
An in-depth analysis of residential E-cooling demand in The Netherlands
Case Studies in Thermal Engineering
Electric cooling
Heat pump
Energy market
title An in-depth analysis of residential E-cooling demand in The Netherlands
title_full An in-depth analysis of residential E-cooling demand in The Netherlands
title_fullStr An in-depth analysis of residential E-cooling demand in The Netherlands
title_full_unstemmed An in-depth analysis of residential E-cooling demand in The Netherlands
title_short An in-depth analysis of residential E-cooling demand in The Netherlands
title_sort in depth analysis of residential e cooling demand in the netherlands
topic Electric cooling
Heat pump
Energy market
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214157X25007294
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