Uncovering causal graphs in air traffic control communication logs for explainable root cause analysis

This paper presents a novel approach for identifying system topology and detecting causal relationships between servers in Air Traffic Control systems (ATC) by utilizing unstructured, raw communication logs. We have developed a hybrid approach that combines process mining techniques, in particular t...

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Main Authors: Agneza Krajna, Ana Šarčević, Mario Brčić, Kristijan Poje
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-07-01
Series:Automatika
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/00051144.2025.2518794
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author Agneza Krajna
Ana Šarčević
Mario Brčić
Kristijan Poje
author_facet Agneza Krajna
Ana Šarčević
Mario Brčić
Kristijan Poje
author_sort Agneza Krajna
collection DOAJ
description This paper presents a novel approach for identifying system topology and detecting causal relationships between servers in Air Traffic Control systems (ATC) by utilizing unstructured, raw communication logs. We have developed a hybrid approach that combines process mining techniques, in particular the Heuristic Miner algorithm for initial graph construction, with statistical filtering methods to improve analysis accuracy. The resulting Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) enables the application of causal inference techniques that provide an understanding of server connections, improve the explainability of the analysis, and facilitate the identification of root causes. The proposed methodology was tested on both synthetic and real data and showed promising results in analysing causal relationships in systems with raw and unstructured logs.
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institution Matheson Library
issn 0005-1144
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publishDate 2025-07-01
publisher Taylor & Francis Group
record_format Article
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spelling doaj-art-3dcff4e778c84befa0b2f53b57c656e52025-07-08T05:34:21ZengTaylor & Francis GroupAutomatika0005-11441848-33802025-07-0166355957310.1080/00051144.2025.2518794Uncovering causal graphs in air traffic control communication logs for explainable root cause analysisAgneza Krajna0Ana Šarčević1Mario Brčić2Kristijan Poje3Department of Applied Computing, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computing, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, CroatiaDepartment of Electrical Engineering Fundamentals and Measurements, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computing, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, CroatiaDepartment of Applied Computing, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computing, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, CroatiaDepartment of Applied Computing, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computing, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, CroatiaThis paper presents a novel approach for identifying system topology and detecting causal relationships between servers in Air Traffic Control systems (ATC) by utilizing unstructured, raw communication logs. We have developed a hybrid approach that combines process mining techniques, in particular the Heuristic Miner algorithm for initial graph construction, with statistical filtering methods to improve analysis accuracy. The resulting Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) enables the application of causal inference techniques that provide an understanding of server connections, improve the explainability of the analysis, and facilitate the identification of root causes. The proposed methodology was tested on both synthetic and real data and showed promising results in analysing causal relationships in systems with raw and unstructured logs.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/00051144.2025.2518794Root cause analysiscausal graphprocess miningcausal discoverycausal inferenceexplainability
spellingShingle Agneza Krajna
Ana Šarčević
Mario Brčić
Kristijan Poje
Uncovering causal graphs in air traffic control communication logs for explainable root cause analysis
Automatika
Root cause analysis
causal graph
process mining
causal discovery
causal inference
explainability
title Uncovering causal graphs in air traffic control communication logs for explainable root cause analysis
title_full Uncovering causal graphs in air traffic control communication logs for explainable root cause analysis
title_fullStr Uncovering causal graphs in air traffic control communication logs for explainable root cause analysis
title_full_unstemmed Uncovering causal graphs in air traffic control communication logs for explainable root cause analysis
title_short Uncovering causal graphs in air traffic control communication logs for explainable root cause analysis
title_sort uncovering causal graphs in air traffic control communication logs for explainable root cause analysis
topic Root cause analysis
causal graph
process mining
causal discovery
causal inference
explainability
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/00051144.2025.2518794
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AT mariobrcic uncoveringcausalgraphsinairtrafficcontrolcommunicationlogsforexplainablerootcauseanalysis
AT kristijanpoje uncoveringcausalgraphsinairtrafficcontrolcommunicationlogsforexplainablerootcauseanalysis