The Western North Pacific Monsoon Dominates Basin-Scale Interannual Variations in Tropical Cyclone Frequency

The monsoon is regarded as a key system influencing tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the Western North Pacific (WNP). However, the relationship between WNP TC frequency (TCF) and the monsoon across different timescales remains incompletely understood. This study explores the interannual-scale rel...

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Main Authors: Xin Li, Jian Cao, Boyang Wang, Jiawei Feng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-07-01
Series:Remote Sensing
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/13/2317
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author Xin Li
Jian Cao
Boyang Wang
Jiawei Feng
author_facet Xin Li
Jian Cao
Boyang Wang
Jiawei Feng
author_sort Xin Li
collection DOAJ
description The monsoon is regarded as a key system influencing tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the Western North Pacific (WNP). However, the relationship between WNP TC frequency (TCF) and the monsoon across different timescales remains incompletely understood. This study explores the interannual-scale relationship between WNP TCF and the WNP summer monsoon over the period 1982–2020. We found that the interannual variation in basin-scale TCF is dominated by dynamic factors, particularly lower troposphere vorticity and middle troposphere ascending motion, which are driven by the WNP summer monsoon. Enhanced monsoonal precipitation over the WNP intensifies convective heating, which acts as a diabatic heat source and triggers a Rossby wave response to the west. This response generates anomalous lower troposphere cyclonic circulation and ascending motion in the main TC development region. In turn, the strengthened WNP summer monsoon circulation further amplifies precipitation, establishing positive feedback between atmospheric circulation and convection. This mechanism establishes dynamic conditions favorable for TC genesis, thereby dominating the basin-scale interannual variation in TCF.
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spelling doaj-art-3c16c9c1788b4b54b9e5a01107ddaee32025-07-11T14:42:41ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922025-07-011713231710.3390/rs17132317The Western North Pacific Monsoon Dominates Basin-Scale Interannual Variations in Tropical Cyclone FrequencyXin Li0Jian Cao1Boyang Wang2Jiawei Feng3State Key Laboratory of Climate System Prediction and Risk Management and Earth System Modeling Center, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Climate System Prediction and Risk Management and Earth System Modeling Center, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Climate System Prediction and Risk Management and Earth System Modeling Center, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Climate System Prediction and Risk Management and Earth System Modeling Center, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, ChinaThe monsoon is regarded as a key system influencing tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the Western North Pacific (WNP). However, the relationship between WNP TC frequency (TCF) and the monsoon across different timescales remains incompletely understood. This study explores the interannual-scale relationship between WNP TCF and the WNP summer monsoon over the period 1982–2020. We found that the interannual variation in basin-scale TCF is dominated by dynamic factors, particularly lower troposphere vorticity and middle troposphere ascending motion, which are driven by the WNP summer monsoon. Enhanced monsoonal precipitation over the WNP intensifies convective heating, which acts as a diabatic heat source and triggers a Rossby wave response to the west. This response generates anomalous lower troposphere cyclonic circulation and ascending motion in the main TC development region. In turn, the strengthened WNP summer monsoon circulation further amplifies precipitation, establishing positive feedback between atmospheric circulation and convection. This mechanism establishes dynamic conditions favorable for TC genesis, thereby dominating the basin-scale interannual variation in TCF.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/13/2317WNP summer monsoonTC frequencyinterannual variationlarge-scale environmental conditions
spellingShingle Xin Li
Jian Cao
Boyang Wang
Jiawei Feng
The Western North Pacific Monsoon Dominates Basin-Scale Interannual Variations in Tropical Cyclone Frequency
Remote Sensing
WNP summer monsoon
TC frequency
interannual variation
large-scale environmental conditions
title The Western North Pacific Monsoon Dominates Basin-Scale Interannual Variations in Tropical Cyclone Frequency
title_full The Western North Pacific Monsoon Dominates Basin-Scale Interannual Variations in Tropical Cyclone Frequency
title_fullStr The Western North Pacific Monsoon Dominates Basin-Scale Interannual Variations in Tropical Cyclone Frequency
title_full_unstemmed The Western North Pacific Monsoon Dominates Basin-Scale Interannual Variations in Tropical Cyclone Frequency
title_short The Western North Pacific Monsoon Dominates Basin-Scale Interannual Variations in Tropical Cyclone Frequency
title_sort western north pacific monsoon dominates basin scale interannual variations in tropical cyclone frequency
topic WNP summer monsoon
TC frequency
interannual variation
large-scale environmental conditions
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/13/2317
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