Stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and simple human learning optimization algorithms as a decision support system

The goal of this research is to develop a decision support system for stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and SHLO algorithms based on fundamental analysis of stocks. Portfolio optimization involves constructing a portfolio that maximizes returns while minimizing risk. The novelty in me...

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Main Authors: Suyash S. Satpute, Amol C. Adamuthe, Pooja Bagane
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:MethodsX
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2215016125002596
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author Suyash S. Satpute
Amol C. Adamuthe
Pooja Bagane
author_facet Suyash S. Satpute
Amol C. Adamuthe
Pooja Bagane
author_sort Suyash S. Satpute
collection DOAJ
description The goal of this research is to develop a decision support system for stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and SHLO algorithms based on fundamental analysis of stocks. Portfolio optimization involves constructing a portfolio that maximizes returns while minimizing risk. The novelty in methodology is ‘hybridizing’ nature-inspired algorithms for optimized portfolio selection with two independent modules: intrinsic value of stocks and financial health analysis. This integrated approach aids decision-making by considering multiple dimensions of stock performance. Custom datasets are designed for each input module using historical fundamental data. The DSS output presents an optimized portfolio. Comparison for different risk profiles shows that as risk increases, returns of optimized portfolios decrease from 55 % to 24 %. Results for keeping other inputs the same for varying cardinality show that as cardinality increases, returns decrease. The results show that fundamentally undervalued portfolios outperform growth portfolios by a considerable margin. We conclude that optimized portfolios with varying constraints, >80 % of the time, outperform US market indices.Key contributions include: • Developed a decision support system using intrinsic value and financial health analysis. • Novel fitness function for optimization using hill climbing and SHLO. • Integrated module outputs with hill climbing and SHLO for portfolio optimization.
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spelling doaj-art-246a45c3c55d46faa138f0083a90437f2025-06-27T05:51:43ZengElsevierMethodsX2215-01612025-06-0114103413Stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and simple human learning optimization algorithms as a decision support systemSuyash S. Satpute0Amol C. Adamuthe1Pooja Bagane2Department of CSE, Kasegaon Education Society’s Rajarambapu Institute of Technology, affiliated to Shivaji University, Sakharale, MS 415414, IndiaDepartment of Information Technology, Kasegaon Education Society’s Rajarambapu Institute of Technology, affiliated to Shivaji University, Sakharale, MS 415414, IndiaSymbiosis Institute of Technology –Pune Campus, Symbiosis International (Deemed University), Pune, India; Corresponding author.The goal of this research is to develop a decision support system for stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and SHLO algorithms based on fundamental analysis of stocks. Portfolio optimization involves constructing a portfolio that maximizes returns while minimizing risk. The novelty in methodology is ‘hybridizing’ nature-inspired algorithms for optimized portfolio selection with two independent modules: intrinsic value of stocks and financial health analysis. This integrated approach aids decision-making by considering multiple dimensions of stock performance. Custom datasets are designed for each input module using historical fundamental data. The DSS output presents an optimized portfolio. Comparison for different risk profiles shows that as risk increases, returns of optimized portfolios decrease from 55 % to 24 %. Results for keeping other inputs the same for varying cardinality show that as cardinality increases, returns decrease. The results show that fundamentally undervalued portfolios outperform growth portfolios by a considerable margin. We conclude that optimized portfolios with varying constraints, >80 % of the time, outperform US market indices.Key contributions include: • Developed a decision support system using intrinsic value and financial health analysis. • Novel fitness function for optimization using hill climbing and SHLO. • Integrated module outputs with hill climbing and SHLO for portfolio optimization.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2215016125002596Stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and simple human learning optimization algorithms as a decision support system
spellingShingle Suyash S. Satpute
Amol C. Adamuthe
Pooja Bagane
Stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and simple human learning optimization algorithms as a decision support system
MethodsX
Stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and simple human learning optimization algorithms as a decision support system
title Stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and simple human learning optimization algorithms as a decision support system
title_full Stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and simple human learning optimization algorithms as a decision support system
title_fullStr Stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and simple human learning optimization algorithms as a decision support system
title_full_unstemmed Stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and simple human learning optimization algorithms as a decision support system
title_short Stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and simple human learning optimization algorithms as a decision support system
title_sort stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and simple human learning optimization algorithms as a decision support system
topic Stock portfolio optimization using hill climbing and simple human learning optimization algorithms as a decision support system
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2215016125002596
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