Tree resistance outweighs climatic drivers in governing extreme growth suppression

Summary: While climate extremes are conventionally considered primary triggers of extreme growth suppression (EGS) in trees, the role of trees’ intrinsic resistance capacity in mediating EGS remains a persistent knowledge gap. By analyzing 4,599 EGSs across 2,631 juniper trees at 61 sites on the Tib...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yuntao Dong, Ouya Fang, Ying Deng, Jiangshan Lai, Hengfeng Jia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-08-01
Series:iScience
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004225013045
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Summary:Summary: While climate extremes are conventionally considered primary triggers of extreme growth suppression (EGS) in trees, the role of trees’ intrinsic resistance capacity in mediating EGS remains a persistent knowledge gap. By analyzing 4,599 EGSs across 2,631 juniper trees at 61 sites on the Tibetan Plateau, we quantified the influence of intrinsic and extrinsic factors on EGS using a random forest model and a piecewise structural equation model. The results showed tree resistance exerted 1.7× greater effect on EGS likelihood than climatic variables of the current year, mediated through both direct physiological pathways and indirect age-related effects. Tree age negatively modulated resistance capacity. These findings fundamentally challenge the climate-centric paradigm in dendroecology, which emphasizes the critical role of individual tree physiology in mediating climate responses. Our mechanistic framework advances a predictive model of forest dynamics under climate change by integrating resilience with traditional climate-growth relationships.
ISSN:2589-0042