Research Of Functional Changes In Foreign Exchange Rate EUR/UAH Under Conditions Of Economic Transformation In Ukraine

The article substantiates the need to carry out a research of the factors affecting the change in the exchange rate of EUR/UAH due to the fact that the devaluation of the Ukrainian hryvnia in the last few years destabilizes the economic environment of entrepreneurship development. Thus, this work an...

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Main Authors: Oliinyk Oksana, Ksendzuk Valentyna, Sergiienko Larysa, Lehan Iryna
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń 2020-06-01
Series:Bulletin of Geography. Socio-Economic Series
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/bog-2020-0018
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author Oliinyk Oksana
Ksendzuk Valentyna
Sergiienko Larysa
Lehan Iryna
author_facet Oliinyk Oksana
Ksendzuk Valentyna
Sergiienko Larysa
Lehan Iryna
author_sort Oliinyk Oksana
collection DOAJ
description The article substantiates the need to carry out a research of the factors affecting the change in the exchange rate of EUR/UAH due to the fact that the devaluation of the Ukrainian hryvnia in the last few years destabilizes the economic environment of entrepreneurship development. Thus, this work analyzes the determinants of the exchange rate in Ukraine, and the investigated correlation between the dependence of the EUR / UAH exchange rate on a set of factors confirmed the tight correlation between the change in money supply and government debt and the rise / fall in the EUR / UAH national currency. Instead, other factors (GDP, budget deficit, export operations, the positive balance of payments, inflation, public debt) have statistically insignificant correlation to the studied indicator and are not included in the regression model. It is suggested to harmonize monetary policy that has the greatest influence on the formation of the exchange rate, as well as to analyze the connection this policy with the foreign trade policy of the country, which will enable to stabilize the exchange rate as well as to ensure the formation of suitable conditions for the economic development of foreign economic entities.
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institution Matheson Library
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language English
publishDate 2020-06-01
publisher Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń
record_format Article
series Bulletin of Geography. Socio-Economic Series
spelling doaj-art-1d0edff606ed43c9968b10b60dc3d96b2025-08-02T02:47:07ZengNicolaus Copernicus University in ToruńBulletin of Geography. Socio-Economic Series2083-82982020-06-01484814115410.2478/bog-2020-0018bog-2020-0018Research Of Functional Changes In Foreign Exchange Rate EUR/UAH Under Conditions Of Economic Transformation In UkraineOliinyk Oksana0Ksendzuk Valentyna1Sergiienko Larysa2Lehan Iryna3State University “Zhytomyr Polytechnic”, Zhytomyr, Department of Economic Safety, Public Management and AdministrationUkraineState University “Zhytomyr Polytechnic”, Zhytomyr, Department of Economic Safety, Public Management and AdministrationUkraineState University “Zhytomyr Polytechnic”, Zhytomyr, Department of Economic Safety, Public Management and AdministrationUkraineState University “Zhytomyr Polytechnic”, Zhytomyr, Department of Economic Safety, Public Management and AdministrationUkraineThe article substantiates the need to carry out a research of the factors affecting the change in the exchange rate of EUR/UAH due to the fact that the devaluation of the Ukrainian hryvnia in the last few years destabilizes the economic environment of entrepreneurship development. Thus, this work analyzes the determinants of the exchange rate in Ukraine, and the investigated correlation between the dependence of the EUR / UAH exchange rate on a set of factors confirmed the tight correlation between the change in money supply and government debt and the rise / fall in the EUR / UAH national currency. Instead, other factors (GDP, budget deficit, export operations, the positive balance of payments, inflation, public debt) have statistically insignificant correlation to the studied indicator and are not included in the regression model. It is suggested to harmonize monetary policy that has the greatest influence on the formation of the exchange rate, as well as to analyze the connection this policy with the foreign trade policy of the country, which will enable to stabilize the exchange rate as well as to ensure the formation of suitable conditions for the economic development of foreign economic entities.https://doi.org/10.2478/bog-2020-0018foreign currency exchange ratecurrency riskeur/uahgdpinflationforeign tradeexternal debtukraineregression analysis
spellingShingle Oliinyk Oksana
Ksendzuk Valentyna
Sergiienko Larysa
Lehan Iryna
Research Of Functional Changes In Foreign Exchange Rate EUR/UAH Under Conditions Of Economic Transformation In Ukraine
Bulletin of Geography. Socio-Economic Series
foreign currency exchange rate
currency risk
eur/uah
gdp
inflation
foreign trade
external debt
ukraine
regression analysis
title Research Of Functional Changes In Foreign Exchange Rate EUR/UAH Under Conditions Of Economic Transformation In Ukraine
title_full Research Of Functional Changes In Foreign Exchange Rate EUR/UAH Under Conditions Of Economic Transformation In Ukraine
title_fullStr Research Of Functional Changes In Foreign Exchange Rate EUR/UAH Under Conditions Of Economic Transformation In Ukraine
title_full_unstemmed Research Of Functional Changes In Foreign Exchange Rate EUR/UAH Under Conditions Of Economic Transformation In Ukraine
title_short Research Of Functional Changes In Foreign Exchange Rate EUR/UAH Under Conditions Of Economic Transformation In Ukraine
title_sort research of functional changes in foreign exchange rate eur uah under conditions of economic transformation in ukraine
topic foreign currency exchange rate
currency risk
eur/uah
gdp
inflation
foreign trade
external debt
ukraine
regression analysis
url https://doi.org/10.2478/bog-2020-0018
work_keys_str_mv AT oliinykoksana researchoffunctionalchangesinforeignexchangerateeuruahunderconditionsofeconomictransformationinukraine
AT ksendzukvalentyna researchoffunctionalchangesinforeignexchangerateeuruahunderconditionsofeconomictransformationinukraine
AT sergiienkolarysa researchoffunctionalchangesinforeignexchangerateeuruahunderconditionsofeconomictransformationinukraine
AT lehaniryna researchoffunctionalchangesinforeignexchangerateeuruahunderconditionsofeconomictransformationinukraine